Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daily maximum near 32°C for Shenzhen on September 5, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light southerly winds, and partly cloudy conditions with isolated thunderstorms that limit extreme heating. This aligns with early September climatology, where average highs reach 31–32°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences, while recent days have recorded peaks of 29–33°C. Model consensus and real-time observations support the market’s strong weighting toward 32°C, with modest probability assigned to 33°C or higher due to potential convective cooling or brief clear spells. Official readings from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 5. September?
31°C 68%
32°C 30%
33°C oder höher 4%
23°C oder niedriger <1%
$31,525 Vol.
$31,525 Vol.
23°C oder niedriger
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
62%
32°C
36%
33°C oder höher
4%
31°C 68%
32°C 30%
33°C oder höher 4%
23°C oder niedriger <1%
$31,525 Vol.
$31,525 Vol.
23°C oder niedriger
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
62%
32°C
36%
33°C oder höher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daily maximum near 32°C for Shenzhen on September 5, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light southerly winds, and partly cloudy conditions with isolated thunderstorms that limit extreme heating. This aligns with early September climatology, where average highs reach 31–32°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences, while recent days have recorded peaks of 29–33°C. Model consensus and real-time observations support the market’s strong weighting toward 32°C, with modest probability assigned to 33°C or higher due to potential convective cooling or brief clear spells. Official readings from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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