Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a Monday low of 61–64°F in New York City under clear skies and light northwest winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 60–65°F. Radiational cooling overnight under high pressure and low dew points near 50–55°F favors the lower end of that range, while any increase in cloud cover or wind could limit the drop. This aligns with early-September climatology, when Central Park averages a 64°F minimum. Traders are weighing the latest model runs and the final NWS forecast update before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 7. September?
62-63°F 50%
64-65°F 49%
56-57 °F 48%
58-59°F 48%
55°F oder darunter
46%
56-57 °F
48%
58-59°F
48%
60-61°F
48%
62-63°F
50%
64-65°F
49%
66-67°F
48%
68-69°F
48%
70-71°F
43%
72-73°F
39%
74°F oder höher
1%
62-63°F 50%
64-65°F 49%
56-57 °F 48%
58-59°F 48%
55°F oder darunter
46%
56-57 °F
48%
58-59°F
48%
60-61°F
48%
62-63°F
50%
64-65°F
49%
66-67°F
48%
68-69°F
48%
70-71°F
43%
72-73°F
39%
74°F oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 5, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a Monday low of 61–64°F in New York City under clear skies and light northwest winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 60–65°F. Radiational cooling overnight under high pressure and low dew points near 50–55°F favors the lower end of that range, while any increase in cloud cover or wind could limit the drop. This aligns with early-September climatology, when Central Park averages a 64°F minimum. Traders are weighing the latest model runs and the final NWS forecast update before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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