Current observational data and short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo’s minimum temperature on September 13 will reach 20 °C overnight, with model consensus and real-time readings supporting this threshold as the day’s low. Persistent southerly flow, high humidity near 90 %, and limited radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies have kept temperatures from dropping further, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Trader consensus at 99 % on 20 °C reflects this convergence of official measurements and model agreement. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night surge in northerly winds or clearer skies that enhance cooling beyond current guidance, though such shifts remain outside the envelope of available forecasts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 13. September?
20°C 99%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
17°C oder darunter <1%
17°C oder darunter
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C oder höher
<1%
20°C 99%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
17°C oder darunter <1%
17°C oder darunter
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current observational data and short-range forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo’s minimum temperature on September 13 will reach 20 °C overnight, with model consensus and real-time readings supporting this threshold as the day’s low. Persistent southerly flow, high humidity near 90 %, and limited radiational cooling under mostly cloudy skies have kept temperatures from dropping further, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Trader consensus at 99 % on 20 °C reflects this convergence of official measurements and model agreement. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night surge in northerly winds or clearer skies that enhance cooling beyond current guidance, though such shifts remain outside the envelope of available forecasts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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