**Trader consensus strongly favors a 40°C high in Karachi on September 13, driven by official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models projecting peak temperatures near that threshold under mostly sunny skies, westerly winds of 10–15 mph, and low precipitation chances.** Current observations show afternoon readings climbing into the upper 30s°C with high humidity (50–70%) and heat indices elevated by several degrees, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. The 98.5% implied probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of these conditions and historical September maxima around 37–40°C. A shift in steering patterns allowing greater cloud cover, an earlier monsoon pulse, or revised model runs showing a lower peak could realistically push the official maximum below 40°C, though such changes appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Karatschi am 13. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Karatschi am 13. September?
40°C 99.1%
41°C oder höher 2%
31°C oder darunter <1%
32°C <1%
$32,345 Vol.
$32,345 Vol.
13. Sep. 2026
31°C oder darunter
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
99%
41°C oder höher
2%
40°C 99.1%
41°C oder höher 2%
31°C oder darunter <1%
32°C <1%
$32,345 Vol.
$32,345 Vol.
13. Sep. 2026
31°C oder darunter
$1,088 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$712 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,520 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,676 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,280 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,987 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$4,932 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$2,650 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$6,703 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$5,106 Vol.
99%
41°C oder höher
$2,691 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 40°C high in Karachi on September 13, driven by official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models projecting peak temperatures near that threshold under mostly sunny skies, westerly winds of 10–15 mph, and low precipitation chances.** Current observations show afternoon readings climbing into the upper 30s°C with high humidity (50–70%) and heat indices elevated by several degrees, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. The 98.5% implied probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of these conditions and historical September maxima around 37–40°C. A shift in steering patterns allowing greater cloud cover, an earlier monsoon pulse, or revised model runs showing a lower peak could realistically push the official maximum below 40°C, though such changes appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$32,345Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 40°C high in Karachi on September 13, driven by official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models projecting peak temperatures near that threshold under mostly sunny skies, westerly winds of 10–15 mph, and low precipitation chances.** Current observations show afternoon readings climbing into the upper 30s°C with high humidity (50–70%) and heat indices elevated by several degrees, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. The 98.5% implied probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of these conditions and historical September maxima around 37–40°C. A shift in steering patterns allowing greater cloud cover, an earlier monsoon pulse, or revised model runs showing a lower peak could realistically push the official maximum below 40°C, though such changes appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$32,345Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 40°C high in Karachi on September 13, driven by official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models projecting peak temperatures near that threshold under mostly sunny skies, westerly winds of 10–15 mph, and low precipitation chances.** Current observations show afternoon readings climbing into the upper 30s°C with high humidity (50–70%) and heat indices elevated by several degrees, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. The 98.5% implied probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of these conditions and historical September maxima around 37–40°C. A shift in steering patterns allowing greater cloud cover, an earlier monsoon pulse, or revised model runs showing a lower peak could realistically push the official maximum below 40°C, though such changes appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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