Recent forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate minimum temperatures in Panama City, Panama, around 24–25°C on September 14, aligning with the September climatological average of 24°C amid the rainy season. Persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and light winds associated with the Intertropical Convergence Zone limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting elevated overnight lows. No significant cold air intrusions or model shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this baseline. Trader consensus, reflected in the 49% implied probability for 29°C or higher, appears driven by expectations of continued stable tropical conditions and potential forecast revisions favoring warmer scenarios, while lower outcomes carry minimal weight given historical September minima rarely dip below 23°C. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of the date will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Panama City am 14. September?
29°C oder höher 98%
26°C 44%
27°C 40%
22°C 39%
19°C oder weniger
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
26%
27°C
40%
28°C
39%
29°C oder höher
98%
29°C oder höher 98%
26°C 44%
27°C 40%
22°C 39%
19°C oder weniger
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
26%
27°C
40%
28°C
39%
29°C oder höher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate minimum temperatures in Panama City, Panama, around 24–25°C on September 14, aligning with the September climatological average of 24°C amid the rainy season. Persistent high humidity, cloud cover, and light winds associated with the Intertropical Convergence Zone limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting elevated overnight lows. No significant cold air intrusions or model shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this baseline. Trader consensus, reflected in the 49% implied probability for 29°C or higher, appears driven by expectations of continued stable tropical conditions and potential forecast revisions favoring warmer scenarios, while lower outcomes carry minimal weight given historical September minima rarely dip below 23°C. Updated model runs and local observations ahead of the date will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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