**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as Hong Kong’s minimum temperature on September 12, reflecting preliminary observations and model guidance showing limited overnight cooling.** Persistent high humidity, elevated dew points near 24–26°C, and extensive cloud cover from a moist easterly flow suppressed radiative cooling, keeping nighttime lows elevated relative to climatological norms of about 24°C for mid-September. Official Hong Kong Observatory data, once finalized in the daily extract, will confirm the absolute minimum; any downward revision in post-processed values remains possible but unlikely given the narrow spread in real-time readings. Upcoming model updates and the next HKO bulletin represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift residual uncertainty around the exact threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 12. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 12. September?
27°C 98.8%
26°C 1.1%
31°C <1%
32°C oder höher <1%
$107,956 Vol.
$107,956 Vol.
12. Sep. 2026
22°C oder darunter
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C oder höher
1%
27°C 98.8%
26°C 1.1%
31°C <1%
32°C oder höher <1%
$107,956 Vol.
$107,956 Vol.
12. Sep. 2026
22°C oder darunter
$528 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,001 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,259 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,967 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,317 Vol.
1%
27°C
$6,383 Vol.
99%
28°C
$86,132 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$82 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$157 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$76 Vol.
1%
32°C oder höher
$54 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as Hong Kong’s minimum temperature on September 12, reflecting preliminary observations and model guidance showing limited overnight cooling.** Persistent high humidity, elevated dew points near 24–26°C, and extensive cloud cover from a moist easterly flow suppressed radiative cooling, keeping nighttime lows elevated relative to climatological norms of about 24°C for mid-September. Official Hong Kong Observatory data, once finalized in the daily extract, will confirm the absolute minimum; any downward revision in post-processed values remains possible but unlikely given the narrow spread in real-time readings. Upcoming model updates and the next HKO bulletin represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift residual uncertainty around the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$107,956Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as Hong Kong’s minimum temperature on September 12, reflecting preliminary observations and model guidance showing limited overnight cooling.** Persistent high humidity, elevated dew points near 24–26°C, and extensive cloud cover from a moist easterly flow suppressed radiative cooling, keeping nighttime lows elevated relative to climatological norms of about 24°C for mid-September. Official Hong Kong Observatory data, once finalized in the daily extract, will confirm the absolute minimum; any downward revision in post-processed values remains possible but unlikely given the narrow spread in real-time readings. Upcoming model updates and the next HKO bulletin represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift residual uncertainty around the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$107,956Enddatum
12. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as Hong Kong’s minimum temperature on September 12, reflecting preliminary observations and model guidance showing limited overnight cooling.** Persistent high humidity, elevated dew points near 24–26°C, and extensive cloud cover from a moist easterly flow suppressed radiative cooling, keeping nighttime lows elevated relative to climatological norms of about 24°C for mid-September. Official Hong Kong Observatory data, once finalized in the daily extract, will confirm the absolute minimum; any downward revision in post-processed values remains possible but unlikely given the narrow spread in real-time readings. Upcoming model updates and the next HKO bulletin represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift residual uncertainty around the exact threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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