Recent forecasts from official sources indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered thunderstorms across Hong Kong on September 13, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting a minimum near 26–27 °C. Easterly winds of 10–20 km/h further mix the boundary layer, preventing sharper drops typical of clearer September nights. Model consensus and early observations align with these conditions, explaining why traders assign 67% implied probability to 27 °C while assigning lower odds to 25 °C or below. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine the final recorded minimum before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 13. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 13. September?
27°C 67%
26°C 16%
25°C 13%
24°C 10%
NEU
$15,918 Vol.
NEU
$15,918 Vol.
13. Sep. 2026
22°C oder weniger
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
10%
25°C
13%
26°C
16%
27°C
67%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
1%
27°C 67%
26°C 16%
25°C 13%
24°C 10%
NEU
$15,918 Vol.
NEU
$15,918 Vol.
13. Sep. 2026
22°C oder weniger
$739 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,968 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,229 Vol.
10%
25°C
$2,732 Vol.
13%
26°C
$1,968 Vol.
16%
27°C
$5,466 Vol.
67%
28°C
$446 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$152 Vol.
1%
30°C
$77 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$77 Vol.
<1%
32°C oder höher
$77 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from official sources indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered thunderstorms across Hong Kong on September 13, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting a minimum near 26–27 °C. Easterly winds of 10–20 km/h further mix the boundary layer, preventing sharper drops typical of clearer September nights. Model consensus and early observations align with these conditions, explaining why traders assign 67% implied probability to 27 °C while assigning lower odds to 25 °C or below. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine the final recorded minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$15,918Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from official sources indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered thunderstorms across Hong Kong on September 13, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting a minimum near 26–27 °C. Easterly winds of 10–20 km/h further mix the boundary layer, preventing sharper drops typical of clearer September nights. Model consensus and early observations align with these conditions, explaining why traders assign 67% implied probability to 27 °C while assigning lower odds to 25 °C or below. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine the final recorded minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$15,918Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from official sources indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered thunderstorms across Hong Kong on September 13, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting a minimum near 26–27 °C. Easterly winds of 10–20 km/h further mix the boundary layer, preventing sharper drops typical of clearer September nights. Model consensus and early observations align with these conditions, explaining why traders assign 67% implied probability to 27 °C while assigning lower odds to 25 °C or below. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine the final recorded minimum before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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