Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a high in the upper 90s to low 100s°F for Austin on September 14, 2026, above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 91°F. Persistent southerly flow is advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf while subsidence under broad high pressure limits extensive cloud cover, allowing strong daytime solar heating. Light winds and high humidity support elevated heat indices near 105–109°F. The close market split between 98–99°F and 100–101°F reflects remaining uncertainty in afternoon convective development and exact boundary-layer mixing across model runs, with resolution depending on the official maximum recorded at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Austin am 14. September?
98-99°F 38%
100-101°F 32%
96-97°F 16%
94-95°F 10%
89°F oder weniger
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
16%
98-99°F
38%
100-101°F
32%
102-103°F
9%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108°F oder höher
<1%
98-99°F 38%
100-101°F 32%
96-97°F 16%
94-95°F 10%
89°F oder weniger
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
16%
98-99°F
38%
100-101°F
32%
102-103°F
9%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a high in the upper 90s to low 100s°F for Austin on September 14, 2026, above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 91°F. Persistent southerly flow is advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf while subsidence under broad high pressure limits extensive cloud cover, allowing strong daytime solar heating. Light winds and high humidity support elevated heat indices near 105–109°F. The close market split between 98–99°F and 100–101°F reflects remaining uncertainty in afternoon convective development and exact boundary-layer mixing across model runs, with resolution depending on the official maximum recorded at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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