Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Zhengzhou overnight lows near 18–20°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with light winds and moderate humidity favoring moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs around 30°C. The near-even market split between 16°C or below and 26°C or higher reflects remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and local urban heat effects that could shift the nocturnal minimum by several degrees. Historical September climatology shows typical lows in the high teens, providing context for why small forecast revisions—such as updated model runs on wind or dew point—could rapidly alter implied probabilities ahead of the daily minimum resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 14. September?
16°C oder weniger 94%
26°C oder höher 93%
17°C 40%
20°C 39%
16°C oder weniger
94%
17°C
40%
18°C
30%
19°C
38%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
18%
24°C
18%
25°C
18%
26°C oder höher
93%
16°C oder weniger 94%
26°C oder höher 93%
17°C 40%
20°C 39%
16°C oder weniger
94%
17°C
40%
18°C
30%
19°C
38%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
18%
24°C
18%
25°C
18%
26°C oder höher
93%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Zhengzhou overnight lows near 18–20°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with light winds and moderate humidity favoring moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs around 30°C. The near-even market split between 16°C or below and 26°C or higher reflects remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and local urban heat effects that could shift the nocturnal minimum by several degrees. Historical September climatology shows typical lows in the high teens, providing context for why small forecast revisions—such as updated model runs on wind or dew point—could rapidly alter implied probabilities ahead of the daily minimum resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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