**Consensus forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including GFS data, project a daytime high of approximately 28–30°C in Busan on September 13 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds.** This aligns with the market-implied 99.5% probability for 30°C as the daily maximum. Current conditions feature moderate humidity around 60% and minimal precipitation risk, supporting efficient solar heating without significant cloud suppression or cooling advection. Historical September baselines for the region typically range 26–29°C, placing today near or slightly above average. Realistic challenges to this outcome remain limited but could include unexpected increases in cloud cover or a sharper wind shift that reduces peak insolation; however, model consensus and ongoing observations show low divergence, reinforcing trader confidence in the narrow temperature band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Busan am 13. September?
30°C 99.6%
34°C <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$28,793 Vol.
$28,793 Vol.
26°C oder niedriger
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C oder höher
<1%
30°C 99.6%
34°C <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$28,793 Vol.
$28,793 Vol.
26°C oder niedriger
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Consensus forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including GFS data, project a daytime high of approximately 28–30°C in Busan on September 13 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds.** This aligns with the market-implied 99.5% probability for 30°C as the daily maximum. Current conditions feature moderate humidity around 60% and minimal precipitation risk, supporting efficient solar heating without significant cloud suppression or cooling advection. Historical September baselines for the region typically range 26–29°C, placing today near or slightly above average. Realistic challenges to this outcome remain limited but could include unexpected increases in cloud cover or a sharper wind shift that reduces peak insolation; however, model consensus and ongoing observations show low divergence, reinforcing trader confidence in the narrow temperature band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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