Forecast consensus from models including GFS points to a minimum near 21–22°C for Busan on September 14 under partly cloudy to clear skies with light northeasterly winds. Radiative cooling overnight, aided by modest dew points and calm surface flow, supports this range, while the coastal location and warm Yellow Sea waters limit further drops. Recent model runs show limited spread, yet the market’s tight clustering around 19–22°C reflects residual uncertainty in exact timing of the daily minimum and local urban heat influences. Historical September averages near 20°C provide context, but current stable high-pressure patterns reduce the chance of cooler advection. Updated KMA or ECMWF runs tonight could refine the precise low before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Busan am 14. September?
23°C 76%
20°C 38%
21°C 38%
19°C 37%
16°C oder weniger
2%
17°C
17%
18°C
35%
19°C
37%
20°C
38%
21°C
38%
22°C
37%
23°C
76%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C oder höher
<1%
23°C 76%
20°C 38%
21°C 38%
19°C 37%
16°C oder weniger
2%
17°C
17%
18°C
35%
19°C
37%
20°C
38%
21°C
38%
22°C
37%
23°C
76%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from models including GFS points to a minimum near 21–22°C for Busan on September 14 under partly cloudy to clear skies with light northeasterly winds. Radiative cooling overnight, aided by modest dew points and calm surface flow, supports this range, while the coastal location and warm Yellow Sea waters limit further drops. Recent model runs show limited spread, yet the market’s tight clustering around 19–22°C reflects residual uncertainty in exact timing of the daily minimum and local urban heat influences. Historical September averages near 20°C provide context, but current stable high-pressure patterns reduce the chance of cooler advection. Updated KMA or ECMWF runs tonight could refine the precise low before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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