Trader consensus heavily favors a daily maximum of 25°C in Cape Town on September 13, 2026, driven by convergent outputs from GFS and other numerical weather models showing peak temperatures in the mid-20s Celsius under overcast skies with scattered showers and light winds. Current observations and short-range forecasts place afternoon readings near 22–24°C, consistent with springtime climatology for the region and typical diurnal ranges influenced by the Benguela Current. The 99.7% implied probability reflects strong model agreement and limited variability in steering patterns or insolation. Realistic challenges include localized thunderstorm intensification or delayed clearing that could push readings a degree higher, or stronger onshore flow suppressing the peak below 24°C, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 13. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 13. September?
25°C 99.7%
27°C <1%
26°C <1%
29°C oder höher <1%
$37,590 Vol.
$37,590 Vol.
13. Sep. 2026
19°C oder niedriger
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
25°C 99.7%
27°C <1%
26°C <1%
29°C oder höher <1%
$37,590 Vol.
$37,590 Vol.
13. Sep. 2026
19°C oder niedriger
$3,563 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,700 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$4,709 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$4,846 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,241 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,824 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,389 Vol.
100%
26°C
$4,022 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,063 Vol.
1%
28°C
$742 Vol.
<1%
29°C oder höher
$2,490 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a daily maximum of 25°C in Cape Town on September 13, 2026, driven by convergent outputs from GFS and other numerical weather models showing peak temperatures in the mid-20s Celsius under overcast skies with scattered showers and light winds. Current observations and short-range forecasts place afternoon readings near 22–24°C, consistent with springtime climatology for the region and typical diurnal ranges influenced by the Benguela Current. The 99.7% implied probability reflects strong model agreement and limited variability in steering patterns or insolation. Realistic challenges include localized thunderstorm intensification or delayed clearing that could push readings a degree higher, or stronger onshore flow suppressing the peak below 24°C, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$37,590Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a daily maximum of 25°C in Cape Town on September 13, 2026, driven by convergent outputs from GFS and other numerical weather models showing peak temperatures in the mid-20s Celsius under overcast skies with scattered showers and light winds. Current observations and short-range forecasts place afternoon readings near 22–24°C, consistent with springtime climatology for the region and typical diurnal ranges influenced by the Benguela Current. The 99.7% implied probability reflects strong model agreement and limited variability in steering patterns or insolation. Realistic challenges include localized thunderstorm intensification or delayed clearing that could push readings a degree higher, or stronger onshore flow suppressing the peak below 24°C, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$37,590Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a daily maximum of 25°C in Cape Town on September 13, 2026, driven by convergent outputs from GFS and other numerical weather models showing peak temperatures in the mid-20s Celsius under overcast skies with scattered showers and light winds. Current observations and short-range forecasts place afternoon readings near 22–24°C, consistent with springtime climatology for the region and typical diurnal ranges influenced by the Benguela Current. The 99.7% implied probability reflects strong model agreement and limited variability in steering patterns or insolation. Realistic challenges include localized thunderstorm intensification or delayed clearing that could push readings a degree higher, or stronger onshore flow suppressing the peak below 24°C, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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