**Trader sentiment for Moscow’s September 13 highest temperature centers on an 18 °C peak (76.3 % implied probability), reflecting official forecasts and real-time observations that place the daily maximum in the 17–19 °C range.** The Russian Hydrometeorological Center explicitly forecast daytime highs of +17 to +19 °C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and no precipitation. Multiple numerical models and station data observed afternoon readings climbing to 16–17 °C (61–62 °F) by mid-afternoon local time, consistent with seasonal norms near the 16.9 °C long-term average high. These conditions—clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate west-to-northwest flow, and surface pressures around 762–763 mm Hg—favor modest daytime warming without strong advection or cloud cover suppressing the maximum. With resolution imminent on the same calendar day, markets have converged on 18 °C as the most probable single outcome within the narrow forecast envelope, while lower or higher bins remain thinly traded. Updated model runs or final observational data from Moscow stations will determine exact resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 13. September?
18°C 98.8%
19°C <1%
13°C oder weniger <1%
14°C <1%
$25,407 Vol.
$25,407 Vol.
13°C oder weniger
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
99%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C oder höher
<1%
18°C 98.8%
19°C <1%
13°C oder weniger <1%
14°C <1%
$25,407 Vol.
$25,407 Vol.
13°C oder weniger
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
99%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Moscow’s September 13 highest temperature centers on an 18 °C peak (76.3 % implied probability), reflecting official forecasts and real-time observations that place the daily maximum in the 17–19 °C range.** The Russian Hydrometeorological Center explicitly forecast daytime highs of +17 to +19 °C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and no precipitation. Multiple numerical models and station data observed afternoon readings climbing to 16–17 °C (61–62 °F) by mid-afternoon local time, consistent with seasonal norms near the 16.9 °C long-term average high. These conditions—clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate west-to-northwest flow, and surface pressures around 762–763 mm Hg—favor modest daytime warming without strong advection or cloud cover suppressing the maximum. With resolution imminent on the same calendar day, markets have converged on 18 °C as the most probable single outcome within the narrow forecast envelope, while lower or higher bins remain thinly traded. Updated model runs or final observational data from Moscow stations will determine exact resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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