Current forecasts from global models indicate Tokyo's September 14 high will reach 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds promoting warm advection and limited daytime cloud cover. This setup favors peak readings near 30°C, consistent with trader-implied odds of 51% for 30°C, 24% for 29°C, and 17% for 31°C. Mid-September climatology shows typical maxima around 27°C, so current conditions reflect above-average warmth from stable high pressure and minimal precipitation during peak heating hours. Model consensus remains tight, though minor variations in afternoon cloud timing or wind gusts could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated runs and official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance ahead of resolution will provide the clearest signal for any late adjustments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tokio am 14. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Tokio am 14. September?
30°C 51%
29°C 24%
31°C 17%
28°C 7%
NEU
$10,373 Vol.
NEU
$10,373 Vol.
14. Sep. 2026
25°C oder darunter
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
24%
30°C
51%
31°C
17%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
30°C 51%
29°C 24%
31°C 17%
28°C 7%
NEU
$10,373 Vol.
NEU
$10,373 Vol.
14. Sep. 2026
25°C oder darunter
$1,450 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$379 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$401 Vol.
2%
28°C
$514 Vol.
7%
29°C
$1,600 Vol.
24%
30°C
$1,317 Vol.
51%
31°C
$2,989 Vol.
17%
32°C
$429 Vol.
4%
33°C
$267 Vol.
2%
34°C
$335 Vol.
<1%
35°C oder höher
$693 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global models indicate Tokyo's September 14 high will reach 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds promoting warm advection and limited daytime cloud cover. This setup favors peak readings near 30°C, consistent with trader-implied odds of 51% for 30°C, 24% for 29°C, and 17% for 31°C. Mid-September climatology shows typical maxima around 27°C, so current conditions reflect above-average warmth from stable high pressure and minimal precipitation during peak heating hours. Model consensus remains tight, though minor variations in afternoon cloud timing or wind gusts could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated runs and official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance ahead of resolution will provide the clearest signal for any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$10,373Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global models indicate Tokyo's September 14 high will reach 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds promoting warm advection and limited daytime cloud cover. This setup favors peak readings near 30°C, consistent with trader-implied odds of 51% for 30°C, 24% for 29°C, and 17% for 31°C. Mid-September climatology shows typical maxima around 27°C, so current conditions reflect above-average warmth from stable high pressure and minimal precipitation during peak heating hours. Model consensus remains tight, though minor variations in afternoon cloud timing or wind gusts could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated runs and official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance ahead of resolution will provide the clearest signal for any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10,373Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from global models indicate Tokyo's September 14 high will reach 30–31°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds promoting warm advection and limited daytime cloud cover. This setup favors peak readings near 30°C, consistent with trader-implied odds of 51% for 30°C, 24% for 29°C, and 17% for 31°C. Mid-September climatology shows typical maxima around 27°C, so current conditions reflect above-average warmth from stable high pressure and minimal precipitation during peak heating hours. Model consensus remains tight, though minor variations in afternoon cloud timing or wind gusts could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated runs and official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance ahead of resolution will provide the clearest signal for any late adjustments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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