**Forecast models from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) and international sources indicate a high near 31°C for Taipei on September 14, driven by northeasterly winds advecting moist air and promoting cloud cover with scattered showers that limit daytime heating.** This setup follows recent heavy rain advisories across northern Taiwan, where enhanced moisture has already suppressed peaks relative to earlier September warmth. Historical September averages hover around 30–31°C, providing context for the current outlook, though model consensus shows some spread due to variable shower timing and intensity. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 32°C (44.5%) over 31°C (18.5%) reflect expectations of brief clearing allowing slight exceedance of official guidance, with lower odds on 33°C+ underscoring uncertainty in afternoon convective development. Updated CWA briefings and regional model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Taipeh am 14. September?
32°C 44%
33°C 22%
31°C 19%
34°C 6%
$10,788 Vol.
$10,788 Vol.
27°C oder darunter
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
19%
32°C
44%
33°C
22%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C
3%
37°C oder höher
<1%
32°C 44%
33°C 22%
31°C 19%
34°C 6%
$10,788 Vol.
$10,788 Vol.
27°C oder darunter
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
19%
32°C
44%
33°C
22%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C
3%
37°C oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) and international sources indicate a high near 31°C for Taipei on September 14, driven by northeasterly winds advecting moist air and promoting cloud cover with scattered showers that limit daytime heating.** This setup follows recent heavy rain advisories across northern Taiwan, where enhanced moisture has already suppressed peaks relative to earlier September warmth. Historical September averages hover around 30–31°C, providing context for the current outlook, though model consensus shows some spread due to variable shower timing and intensity. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 32°C (44.5%) over 31°C (18.5%) reflect expectations of brief clearing allowing slight exceedance of official guidance, with lower odds on 33°C+ underscoring uncertainty in afternoon convective development. Updated CWA briefings and regional model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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