Forecast models from sources like the GFS project a Monday low of 63–64°F for New York City, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler, drier air behind Sunday’s rain and allowing radiational cooling under mostly clear skies overnight. This setup favors the lower end of the range, consistent with historical September 14 averages near 62°F but tempered by recent warmth. Trader consensus favors 66–67°F at 40.5% implied probability, closely followed by 64–65°F, reflecting modest model spread in minimum temperature guidance and uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing. Upcoming NWS updates and refined model runs will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 14. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 14. September?
66-67°F 41%
64-65°F 30%
62-63°F 15%
68-69°F 8%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
57°F oder darunter
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
15%
64-65°F
30%
66-67°F
41%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76°F oder höher
1%
66-67°F 41%
64-65°F 30%
62-63°F 15%
68-69°F 8%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
57°F oder darunter
$321 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$107 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
2%
62-63°F
$643 Vol.
15%
64-65°F
$799 Vol.
30%
66-67°F
$1,525 Vol.
41%
68-69°F
$185 Vol.
8%
70-71°F
$2 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$2 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$107 Vol.
1%
76°F oder höher
$107 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the GFS project a Monday low of 63–64°F for New York City, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler, drier air behind Sunday’s rain and allowing radiational cooling under mostly clear skies overnight. This setup favors the lower end of the range, consistent with historical September 14 averages near 62°F but tempered by recent warmth. Trader consensus favors 66–67°F at 40.5% implied probability, closely followed by 64–65°F, reflecting modest model spread in minimum temperature guidance and uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing. Upcoming NWS updates and refined model runs will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volumen
$3,800Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the GFS project a Monday low of 63–64°F for New York City, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler, drier air behind Sunday’s rain and allowing radiational cooling under mostly clear skies overnight. This setup favors the lower end of the range, consistent with historical September 14 averages near 62°F but tempered by recent warmth. Trader consensus favors 66–67°F at 40.5% implied probability, closely followed by 64–65°F, reflecting modest model spread in minimum temperature guidance and uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing. Upcoming NWS updates and refined model runs will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,800Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the GFS project a Monday low of 63–64°F for New York City, driven by northwest winds advecting cooler, drier air behind Sunday’s rain and allowing radiational cooling under mostly clear skies overnight. This setup favors the lower end of the range, consistent with historical September 14 averages near 62°F but tempered by recent warmth. Trader consensus favors 66–67°F at 40.5% implied probability, closely followed by 64–65°F, reflecting modest model spread in minimum temperature guidance and uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing. Upcoming NWS updates and refined model runs will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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