**Latest high-resolution forecast models, including outputs from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensembles, indicate a minimum temperature of 11°C for Munich on September 13, 2026.** This outlook reflects overnight radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover and light southwesterly winds, with dew points supporting stabilization near that level rather than deeper drops. Historical September climatology for the city shows average lows near 10°C, providing context for the current positioning, while model consensus across multiple runs has converged on this value with limited spread. Trader sentiment aligns with this evidence because prediction markets aggregate real-capital assessments of forecast skill, favoring the outcome most consistent with official station data thresholds. Uncertainties remain around exact timing of any clearing skies or localized variations at the measuring site, which could shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in München am 13. September?
11°C 99.6%
7°C oder weniger <1%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
$1,304 Vol.
$1,304 Vol.
7°C oder weniger
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
100%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C oder höher
<1%
11°C 99.6%
7°C oder weniger <1%
8°C <1%
10°C <1%
$1,304 Vol.
$1,304 Vol.
7°C oder weniger
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
100%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Latest high-resolution forecast models, including outputs from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensembles, indicate a minimum temperature of 11°C for Munich on September 13, 2026.** This outlook reflects overnight radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover and light southwesterly winds, with dew points supporting stabilization near that level rather than deeper drops. Historical September climatology for the city shows average lows near 10°C, providing context for the current positioning, while model consensus across multiple runs has converged on this value with limited spread. Trader sentiment aligns with this evidence because prediction markets aggregate real-capital assessments of forecast skill, favoring the outcome most consistent with official station data thresholds. Uncertainties remain around exact timing of any clearing skies or localized variations at the measuring site, which could shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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