Forecast models from the National Weather Service and global ensembles indicate Miami's overnight low on September 14 will likely settle near 77–79°F, aligning with the market's tight 41.5% and 34.5% probabilities on the 78–79°F and 76–77°F bins. Persistent high humidity from Atlantic moisture, combined with light easterly flow and scattered evening thunderstorms, limits radiational cooling while maintaining dew points in the mid-70s. Variable cloud cover after daytime heating introduces the main uncertainty: clearer skies could allow slightly deeper cooling toward 76°F, whereas lingering moisture or delayed clearing keeps readings closer to 79°F. No tropical systems or cold fronts are expected to alter the subtropical pattern before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 14. September?
78-79°F 42%
76-77 °F 36%
80-81°F 16%
70-71°F 15%
69°F oder darunter
4%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
12%
76-77 °F
36%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
7%
86-87 °F
1%
88°F oder höher
1%
78-79°F 42%
76-77 °F 36%
80-81°F 16%
70-71°F 15%
69°F oder darunter
4%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
12%
76-77 °F
36%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
7%
86-87 °F
1%
88°F oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and global ensembles indicate Miami's overnight low on September 14 will likely settle near 77–79°F, aligning with the market's tight 41.5% and 34.5% probabilities on the 78–79°F and 76–77°F bins. Persistent high humidity from Atlantic moisture, combined with light easterly flow and scattered evening thunderstorms, limits radiational cooling while maintaining dew points in the mid-70s. Variable cloud cover after daytime heating introduces the main uncertainty: clearer skies could allow slightly deeper cooling toward 76°F, whereas lingering moisture or delayed clearing keeps readings closer to 79°F. No tropical systems or cold fronts are expected to alter the subtropical pattern before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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