Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 24 centers on 21–23°C, reflecting the latest short-range numerical weather prediction runs showing limited nocturnal cooling under typical late-summer conditions. Marine moderation from the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara, combined with the urban heat island effect that retains daytime warmth, keeps overnight lows elevated compared with inland sites. Key differentiating variables include boundary-layer wind speeds, cloud-cover fraction affecting longwave radiative loss, and any subtle advection of slightly cooler maritime air. Official guidance from regional meteorological agencies will update through the evening of August 23, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded at standard observing stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Istanbul am 24. August?
28°C oder höher 44%
18°C oder darunter 42%
21°C 37%
22°C 37%
18°C oder darunter
42%
19°C
15%
20°C
20%
21°C
28%
22°C
28%
23°C
33%
24°C
20%
25°C
8%
26°C
8%
27°C
5%
28°C oder höher
44%
28°C oder höher 44%
18°C oder darunter 42%
21°C 37%
22°C 37%
18°C oder darunter
42%
19°C
15%
20°C
20%
21°C
28%
22°C
28%
23°C
33%
24°C
20%
25°C
8%
26°C
8%
27°C
5%
28°C oder höher
44%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 24 centers on 21–23°C, reflecting the latest short-range numerical weather prediction runs showing limited nocturnal cooling under typical late-summer conditions. Marine moderation from the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara, combined with the urban heat island effect that retains daytime warmth, keeps overnight lows elevated compared with inland sites. Key differentiating variables include boundary-layer wind speeds, cloud-cover fraction affecting longwave radiative loss, and any subtle advection of slightly cooler maritime air. Official guidance from regional meteorological agencies will update through the evening of August 23, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded at standard observing stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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