Current ensemble forecasts for Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 23 position temperatures around 20–22°C, with 21°C emerging as the leading outcome due to persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly winds promoting radiative cooling under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. The Bosphorus and surrounding seas moderate extremes while stable atmospheric patterns limit cloud cover or frontal activity that could alter overnight lows. Historical August minima averaging near 20°C provide climatological context, though model spreads introduce uncertainty around the 19–22°C thresholds. Updated guidance from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service in the coming hours may refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Istanbul am 23. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Istanbul am 23. August?
20°C 20%
19°C 19%
17°C 14%
18°C <1%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
14%
18°C
1%
19°C
19%
20°C
20%
21°C
61%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 20%
19°C 19%
17°C 14%
18°C <1%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
16°C or below
$200 Vol.
1%
17°C
$91 Vol.
14%
18°C
$50 Vol.
1%
19°C
$6 Vol.
19%
20°C
$5 Vol.
20%
21°C
$91 Vol.
61%
22°C
$257 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$215 Vol.
1%
24°C
$236 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$313 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$184 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 23 position temperatures around 20–22°C, with 21°C emerging as the leading outcome due to persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly winds promoting radiative cooling under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. The Bosphorus and surrounding seas moderate extremes while stable atmospheric patterns limit cloud cover or frontal activity that could alter overnight lows. Historical August minima averaging near 20°C provide climatological context, though model spreads introduce uncertainty around the 19–22°C thresholds. Updated guidance from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service in the coming hours may refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$1,647Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 23 position temperatures around 20–22°C, with 21°C emerging as the leading outcome due to persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly winds promoting radiative cooling under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. The Bosphorus and surrounding seas moderate extremes while stable atmospheric patterns limit cloud cover or frontal activity that could alter overnight lows. Historical August minima averaging near 20°C provide climatological context, though model spreads introduce uncertainty around the 19–22°C thresholds. Updated guidance from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service in the coming hours may refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,647Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts for Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 23 position temperatures around 20–22°C, with 21°C emerging as the leading outcome due to persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly winds promoting radiative cooling under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. The Bosphorus and surrounding seas moderate extremes while stable atmospheric patterns limit cloud cover or frontal activity that could alter overnight lows. Historical August minima averaging near 20°C provide climatological context, though model spreads introduce uncertainty around the 19–22°C thresholds. Updated guidance from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service in the coming hours may refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen