Clear skies and light winds overnight are the main drivers behind Cape Town's market-implied odds for September 6 minimum temperatures, with forecasts from multiple models pointing to 12–15 °C under high pressure. Radiative cooling in the absence of cloud cover or strong advection from the Benguela Current will determine how low readings fall at official stations, while typical spring variability and slight differences between coastal and inland sites create the spread traders are pricing. Ensemble guidance shows limited downside risk below 11 °C but keeps 13–14 °C as plausible central outcomes, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded by the South African Weather Service.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 6. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 6. September?
21°C oder höher 59%
15°C 47%
16°C 47%
13°C 35%
NEU
NEU
6. Sep. 2026
11°C oder weniger
-
12°C
28%
13°C
35%
14°C
32%
15°C
47%
16°C
47%
17°C
18%
18°C
4%
19°C
6%
20°C
6%
21°C oder höher
59%
21°C oder höher 59%
15°C 47%
16°C 47%
13°C 35%
NEU
NEU
6. Sep. 2026
11°C oder weniger
$8 Vol.
-
12°C
$0 Vol.
28%
13°C
$0 Vol.
35%
14°C
$0 Vol.
32%
15°C
$0 Vol.
47%
16°C
$0 Vol.
47%
17°C
$0 Vol.
18%
18°C
$0 Vol.
4%
19°C
$0 Vol.
6%
20°C
$0 Vol.
6%
21°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light winds overnight are the main drivers behind Cape Town's market-implied odds for September 6 minimum temperatures, with forecasts from multiple models pointing to 12–15 °C under high pressure. Radiative cooling in the absence of cloud cover or strong advection from the Benguela Current will determine how low readings fall at official stations, while typical spring variability and slight differences between coastal and inland sites create the spread traders are pricing. Ensemble guidance shows limited downside risk below 11 °C but keeps 13–14 °C as plausible central outcomes, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded by the South African Weather Service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$8Enddatum
6. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light winds overnight are the main drivers behind Cape Town's market-implied odds for September 6 minimum temperatures, with forecasts from multiple models pointing to 12–15 °C under high pressure. Radiative cooling in the absence of cloud cover or strong advection from the Benguela Current will determine how low readings fall at official stations, while typical spring variability and slight differences between coastal and inland sites create the spread traders are pricing. Ensemble guidance shows limited downside risk below 11 °C but keeps 13–14 °C as plausible central outcomes, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded by the South African Weather Service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8Enddatum
6. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and light winds overnight are the main drivers behind Cape Town's market-implied odds for September 6 minimum temperatures, with forecasts from multiple models pointing to 12–15 °C under high pressure. Radiative cooling in the absence of cloud cover or strong advection from the Benguela Current will determine how low readings fall at official stations, while typical spring variability and slight differences between coastal and inland sites create the spread traders are pricing. Ensemble guidance shows limited downside risk below 11 °C but keeps 13–14 °C as plausible central outcomes, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded by the South African Weather Service.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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