Recent model consensus from major forecasting centers points to a highest temperature in Cape Town on September 6 most likely in the 26–27°C range, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 35% and 28%. Springtime warming under a strengthening high-pressure ridge, combined with light northerly flow and limited cloud cover, supports daytime maxima near these levels. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from small variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind direction, keeping 25°C and 28°C as secondary possibilities at 15% and 13%. Official guidance from the South African Weather Service and global models will be updated overnight, offering the next key data point before the market resolves.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 6. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 6. September?
26°C 34%
27°C 29%
25°C 15%
28°C 13%
NEU
NEU
6. Sep. 2026
22°C oder niedriger
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
15%
26°C
34%
27°C
29%
28°C
13%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
26°C 34%
27°C 29%
25°C 15%
28°C 13%
NEU
NEU
6. Sep. 2026
22°C oder niedriger
$109 Vol.
1%
23°C
$536 Vol.
2%
24°C
$440 Vol.
4%
25°C
$1,559 Vol.
15%
26°C
$2,485 Vol.
34%
27°C
$1,730 Vol.
29%
28°C
$1,666 Vol.
13%
29°C
$303 Vol.
4%
30°C
$66 Vol.
2%
31°C
$22 Vol.
1%
32°C oder höher
$669 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from major forecasting centers points to a highest temperature in Cape Town on September 6 most likely in the 26–27°C range, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 35% and 28%. Springtime warming under a strengthening high-pressure ridge, combined with light northerly flow and limited cloud cover, supports daytime maxima near these levels. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from small variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind direction, keeping 25°C and 28°C as secondary possibilities at 15% and 13%. Official guidance from the South African Weather Service and global models will be updated overnight, offering the next key data point before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$9,584Enddatum
6. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from major forecasting centers points to a highest temperature in Cape Town on September 6 most likely in the 26–27°C range, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 35% and 28%. Springtime warming under a strengthening high-pressure ridge, combined with light northerly flow and limited cloud cover, supports daytime maxima near these levels. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from small variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind direction, keeping 25°C and 28°C as secondary possibilities at 15% and 13%. Official guidance from the South African Weather Service and global models will be updated overnight, offering the next key data point before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$9,584Enddatum
6. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from major forecasting centers points to a highest temperature in Cape Town on September 6 most likely in the 26–27°C range, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 35% and 28%. Springtime warming under a strengthening high-pressure ridge, combined with light northerly flow and limited cloud cover, supports daytime maxima near these levels. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from small variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind direction, keeping 25°C and 28°C as secondary possibilities at 15% and 13%. Official guidance from the South African Weather Service and global models will be updated overnight, offering the next key data point before the market resolves.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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