**Trader consensus heavily favors 10°C as the lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 30, 2026, at 93.5% implied probability.** Official forecasts from sources including the South African Weather Service analogs, Met Office, and model runs project an overnight minimum near 10°C under clear to mostly clear skies, moderate south-southeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h, and dry conditions typical of late winter. This aligns with climatological averages for Cape Town in late August, where radiative cooling overnight commonly produces lows of 9–12°C absent strong advection or cloud cover. Recent observations through midday show highs around 16–17°C with no unexpected warming or cooling trends. The primary risk to this outcome remains minor model divergence or station-specific microclimate effects that could shift the recorded minimum to 9°C or 11°C, though current data releases show limited scope for such deviation before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 30. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 30. August?
10°C 95%
9°C 6%
8°C 5%
7°C 2%
$2,028 Vol.
$2,028 Vol.
30. Aug. 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
2%
8°C
5%
9°C
6%
10°C
95%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
10°C 95%
9°C 6%
8°C 5%
7°C 2%
$2,028 Vol.
$2,028 Vol.
30. Aug. 2026
6°C or below
$170 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$35 Vol.
2%
8°C
$105 Vol.
5%
9°C
$340 Vol.
6%
10°C
$632 Vol.
95%
11°C
$302 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$255 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$77 Vol.
1%
14°C
$35 Vol.
1%
15°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$46 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 10°C as the lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 30, 2026, at 93.5% implied probability.** Official forecasts from sources including the South African Weather Service analogs, Met Office, and model runs project an overnight minimum near 10°C under clear to mostly clear skies, moderate south-southeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h, and dry conditions typical of late winter. This aligns with climatological averages for Cape Town in late August, where radiative cooling overnight commonly produces lows of 9–12°C absent strong advection or cloud cover. Recent observations through midday show highs around 16–17°C with no unexpected warming or cooling trends. The primary risk to this outcome remains minor model divergence or station-specific microclimate effects that could shift the recorded minimum to 9°C or 11°C, though current data releases show limited scope for such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$2,028Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 10°C as the lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 30, 2026, at 93.5% implied probability.** Official forecasts from sources including the South African Weather Service analogs, Met Office, and model runs project an overnight minimum near 10°C under clear to mostly clear skies, moderate south-southeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h, and dry conditions typical of late winter. This aligns with climatological averages for Cape Town in late August, where radiative cooling overnight commonly produces lows of 9–12°C absent strong advection or cloud cover. Recent observations through midday show highs around 16–17°C with no unexpected warming or cooling trends. The primary risk to this outcome remains minor model divergence or station-specific microclimate effects that could shift the recorded minimum to 9°C or 11°C, though current data releases show limited scope for such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,028Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 10°C as the lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 30, 2026, at 93.5% implied probability.** Official forecasts from sources including the South African Weather Service analogs, Met Office, and model runs project an overnight minimum near 10°C under clear to mostly clear skies, moderate south-southeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h, and dry conditions typical of late winter. This aligns with climatological averages for Cape Town in late August, where radiative cooling overnight commonly produces lows of 9–12°C absent strong advection or cloud cover. Recent observations through midday show highs around 16–17°C with no unexpected warming or cooling trends. The primary risk to this outcome remains minor model divergence or station-specific microclimate effects that could shift the recorded minimum to 9°C or 11°C, though current data releases show limited scope for such deviation before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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