**Forecast models from authoritative sources including the South African Weather Service, Met Office, and global ensembles (GFS/ECMWF) converge on a maximum temperature of 16–17°C for Cape Town on August 31, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with moderate southerly winds.** This supports the market's leading 17°C outcome at 62.5% implied probability, followed by 18°C at 30.5%. Persistent high pressure and dry air advection from the south Atlantic are suppressing cloud cover and limiting daytime warming, consistent with late-winter climatology where average August highs sit near 18°C but recent days have trended 1–2°C cooler. Hourly guidance shows peaks near 17°C in the early afternoon before rapid cooling after sunset, with minimal model spread reducing the chance of significant upside or downside surprises. No incoming fronts or anomalous warming signals have emerged in the latest runs, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the current consensus while traders monitor the final model update before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 31. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 31. August?
17°C 62%
18°C 30%
16°C 7%
19°C 4%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
12°C oder weniger
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
3%
16°C
7%
17°C
62%
18°C
30%
19°C
4%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C oder höher
<1%
17°C 62%
18°C 30%
16°C 7%
19°C 4%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
12°C oder weniger
$190 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$262 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$62 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$181 Vol.
3%
16°C
$628 Vol.
7%
17°C
$1,980 Vol.
62%
18°C
$576 Vol.
30%
19°C
$1,323 Vol.
4%
20°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
22°C oder höher
$219 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from authoritative sources including the South African Weather Service, Met Office, and global ensembles (GFS/ECMWF) converge on a maximum temperature of 16–17°C for Cape Town on August 31, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with moderate southerly winds.**
This supports the market's leading 17°C outcome at 62.5% implied probability, followed by 18°C at 30.5%. Persistent high pressure and dry air advection from the south Atlantic are suppressing cloud cover and limiting daytime warming, consistent with late-winter climatology where average August highs sit near 18°C but recent days have trended 1–2°C cooler.
Hourly guidance shows peaks near 17°C in the early afternoon before rapid cooling after sunset, with minimal model spread reducing the chance of significant upside or downside surprises. No incoming fronts or anomalous warming signals have emerged in the latest runs, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the current consensus while traders monitor the final model update before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$5,716Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from authoritative sources including the South African Weather Service, Met Office, and global ensembles (GFS/ECMWF) converge on a maximum temperature of 16–17°C for Cape Town on August 31, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with moderate southerly winds.**
This supports the market's leading 17°C outcome at 62.5% implied probability, followed by 18°C at 30.5%. Persistent high pressure and dry air advection from the south Atlantic are suppressing cloud cover and limiting daytime warming, consistent with late-winter climatology where average August highs sit near 18°C but recent days have trended 1–2°C cooler.
Hourly guidance shows peaks near 17°C in the early afternoon before rapid cooling after sunset, with minimal model spread reducing the chance of significant upside or downside surprises. No incoming fronts or anomalous warming signals have emerged in the latest runs, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the current consensus while traders monitor the final model update before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,716Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from authoritative sources including the South African Weather Service, Met Office, and global ensembles (GFS/ECMWF) converge on a maximum temperature of 16–17°C for Cape Town on August 31, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with moderate southerly winds.** This supports the market's leading 17°C outcome at 62.5% implied probability, followed by 18°C at 30.5%. Persistent high pressure and dry air advection from the south Atlantic are suppressing cloud cover and limiting daytime warming, consistent with late-winter climatology where average August highs sit near 18°C but recent days have trended 1–2°C cooler. Hourly guidance shows peaks near 17°C in the early afternoon before rapid cooling after sunset, with minimal model spread reducing the chance of significant upside or downside surprises. No incoming fronts or anomalous warming signals have emerged in the latest runs, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the current consensus while traders monitor the final model update before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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