**Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin on August 30, 2026, point to mostly clear skies and light southerly winds overnight, supporting radiational cooling to a low in the mid-70s.** This aligns with typical late-August climatology (historical average low near 72°F) under high pressure dominating Central Texas, with dew points in the low-to-mid 70s limiting further drops. Traders have priced 72–73°F as the overwhelming favorite at 94% implied probability because ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation from this range and no incoming moisture or stronger winds to suppress cooling. A realistic challenge would require either unexpected persistent cloud cover, a late wind shift, or a forecast bust pushing the official low to 74°F or above.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Austin am 30. August?
72-73°F 94%
70-71°F 10%
67°F oder darunter 5%
68-69°F 4.0%
$1,595 Vol.
$1,595 Vol.
67°F oder darunter
5%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
94%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F oder höher
<1%
72-73°F 94%
70-71°F 10%
67°F oder darunter 5%
68-69°F 4.0%
$1,595 Vol.
$1,595 Vol.
67°F oder darunter
5%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
94%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin on August 30, 2026, point to mostly clear skies and light southerly winds overnight, supporting radiational cooling to a low in the mid-70s.** This aligns with typical late-August climatology (historical average low near 72°F) under high pressure dominating Central Texas, with dew points in the low-to-mid 70s limiting further drops. Traders have priced 72–73°F as the overwhelming favorite at 94% implied probability because ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation from this range and no incoming moisture or stronger winds to suppress cooling. A realistic challenge would require either unexpected persistent cloud cover, a late wind shift, or a forecast bust pushing the official low to 74°F or above.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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