**Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus point to a daily high in the upper 90s for Austin on August 31, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 98-99°F.** Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are sustaining hot, mostly sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, keeping temperatures near or slightly below recent peaks. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering between 97–100°F and only modest potential for 100–101°F if downslope warming or delayed mixing occurs. Historical late-August averages near 95°F provide context, but the current pattern supports the elevated baseline reflected in trader positioning ahead of final observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Austin am 31. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 31. August?
98-99°F 57%
100-101°F 34%
96-97°F 5%
102-103°F 5%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
89°F oder niedriger
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
57%
100-101°F
34%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F oder höher
<1%
98-99°F 57%
100-101°F 34%
96-97°F 5%
102-103°F 5%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
89°F oder niedriger
$60 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$88 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$229 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$97 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$378 Vol.
5%
98-99°F
$1,667 Vol.
57%
100-101°F
$519 Vol.
34%
102-103°F
$511 Vol.
5%
104-105°F
$133 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$140 Vol.
<1%
108°F oder höher
$140 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus point to a daily high in the upper 90s for Austin on August 31, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 98-99°F.** Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are sustaining hot, mostly sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, keeping temperatures near or slightly below recent peaks. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering between 97–100°F and only modest potential for 100–101°F if downslope warming or delayed mixing occurs. Historical late-August averages near 95°F provide context, but the current pattern supports the elevated baseline reflected in trader positioning ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$3,962Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus point to a daily high in the upper 90s for Austin on August 31, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 98-99°F.** Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are sustaining hot, mostly sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, keeping temperatures near or slightly below recent peaks. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering between 97–100°F and only modest potential for 100–101°F if downslope warming or delayed mixing occurs. Historical late-August averages near 95°F provide context, but the current pattern supports the elevated baseline reflected in trader positioning ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,962Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus point to a daily high in the upper 90s for Austin on August 31, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 98-99°F.** Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are sustaining hot, mostly sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, keeping temperatures near or slightly below recent peaks. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering between 97–100°F and only modest potential for 100–101°F if downslope warming or delayed mixing occurs. Historical late-August averages near 95°F provide context, but the current pattern supports the elevated baseline reflected in trader positioning ahead of final observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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