Recent polls ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election place Otzma Yehudit at 7–9 seats, consistent with roughly 5–7% of the vote in a fragmented right-wing field. The party’s finalized slate, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir and featuring former Likud MK Tally Gotliv, has not produced major polling shifts, while competition from the Religious Zionism–Zehut alliance and undecided voters near the threshold sustain uncertainty. Trader consensus across adjacent vote-share bins reflects narrow polling margins, typical right-bloc volatility, and the absence of decisive last-minute catalysts that could consolidate or erode support before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert<4,5% 36%
6,5-7,5% 31%
4,5-5,5 % 28%
7,5 %+ 23%
NEU
NEU
30. Nov. 2026
<4,5%
36%
4,5-5,5 %
28%
5,5-6,5 %
32%
6,5-7,5%
31%
7,5 %+
23%
<4,5% 36%
6,5-7,5% 31%
4,5-5,5 % 28%
7,5 %+ 23%
NEU
NEU
30. Nov. 2026
<4,5%
$13 Vol.
36%
4,5-5,5 %
$13 Vol.
28%
5,5-6,5 %
$26 Vol.
32%
6,5-7,5%
$13 Vol.
31%
7,5 %+
$13 Vol.
23%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election place Otzma Yehudit at 7–9 seats, consistent with roughly 5–7% of the vote in a fragmented right-wing field. The party’s finalized slate, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir and featuring former Likud MK Tally Gotliv, has not produced major polling shifts, while competition from the Religious Zionism–Zehut alliance and undecided voters near the threshold sustain uncertainty. Trader consensus across adjacent vote-share bins reflects narrow polling margins, typical right-bloc volatility, and the absence of decisive last-minute catalysts that could consolidate or erode support before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Volumen
$79Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election place Otzma Yehudit at 7–9 seats, consistent with roughly 5–7% of the vote in a fragmented right-wing field. The party’s finalized slate, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir and featuring former Likud MK Tally Gotliv, has not produced major polling shifts, while competition from the Religious Zionism–Zehut alliance and undecided voters near the threshold sustain uncertainty. Trader consensus across adjacent vote-share bins reflects narrow polling margins, typical right-bloc volatility, and the absence of decisive last-minute catalysts that could consolidate or erode support before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volumen
$79Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election place Otzma Yehudit at 7–9 seats, consistent with roughly 5–7% of the vote in a fragmented right-wing field. The party’s finalized slate, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir and featuring former Likud MK Tally Gotliv, has not produced major polling shifts, while competition from the Religious Zionism–Zehut alliance and undecided voters near the threshold sustain uncertainty. Trader consensus across adjacent vote-share bins reflects narrow polling margins, typical right-bloc volatility, and the absence of decisive last-minute catalysts that could consolidate or erode support before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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