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icon for Tongatapu 2 Nachwahl-Sieger
Welt·Tonga

Tongatapu 2 Nachwahl-Sieger

icon for Tongatapu 2 Nachwahl-Sieger
Welt·Tonga

Tongatapu 2 Nachwahl-Sieger

Samiuela Vea 46%

Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki 44%

Lei Paasi 42%

Alvin Lafu Sika 40%

Polymarket
NEU

Samiuela Vea 46%

Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki 44%

Lei Paasi 42%

Alvin Lafu Sika 40%

Polymarket
NEU

Samiuela Vea

$29 Vol.

46%

Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki

$29 Vol.

44%

Lei Paasi

$29 Vol.

42%

Alvin Lafu Sika

$29 Vol.

40%

ʻIlaisa Lepolo Taunisila

$29 Vol.

39%

'Olioni Manoa

$29 Vol.

37%

Sione Harvard Tupouniua

$29 Vol.

26%

Malakai Matafonuafo'ou 'Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi

$29 Vol.

25%

Mounu Uaisele

$349 Vol.

3%

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The Tongatapu 2 by-election on 8 October features nine candidates in a first-past-the-post contest after the seat was vacated by Semisi Sika’s bribery-related unseating, creating an open field without the prior incumbent or his 2025 runner-up. Fragmented support across independents, including Samiuela Vea, Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki, Alvin Lafu Sika, and others backed by localized voter networks or withdrawals that consolidated behind figures like Malakai Koloamatangi, has kept implied probabilities tightly clustered near even odds. With nominations finalized only recently and no public polling available, traders see limited separation until campaign momentum, turnout patterns in key villages, or last-minute endorsements clarify preferences in this low-information environment.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Volumen
$582
Enddatum
8. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The Tongatapu 2 by-election on 8 October features nine candidates in a first-past-the-post contest after the seat was vacated by Semisi Sika’s bribery-related unseating, creating an open field without the prior incumbent or his 2025 runner-up. Fragmented support across independents, including Samiuela Vea, Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki, Alvin Lafu Sika, and others backed by localized voter networks or withdrawals that consolidated behind figures like Malakai Koloamatangi, has kept implied probabilities tightly clustered near even odds. With nominations finalized only recently and no public polling available, traders see limited separation until campaign momentum, turnout patterns in key villages, or last-minute endorsements clarify preferences in this low-information environment.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Volumen
$582
Enddatum
8. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Tongatapu 2 Nachwahl-Sieger" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 9 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Samiuela Vea" mit 46%, gefolgt von „Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki" mit 44%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 46¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 46% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Tongatapu 2 Nachwahl-Sieger" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 9, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Tongatapu 2 Nachwahl-Sieger" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 9 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Tongatapu 2 Nachwahl-Sieger" ist „Samiuela Vea" mit 46%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 46% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki" mit 44%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Tongatapu 2 Nachwahl-Sieger" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.