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icon for Ongo Niua 17 Nachwahl Gewinner
Welt·Tonga

Ongo Niua 17 Nachwahl Gewinner

icon for Ongo Niua 17 Nachwahl Gewinner
Welt·Tonga

Ongo Niua 17 Nachwahl Gewinner

Sione Tuifio Hui 48%

'Aisake Hoatatau Finau 46%

Sitiveni Selui 46%

'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana 42%

Polymarket
NEU

Sione Tuifio Hui 48%

'Aisake Hoatatau Finau 46%

Sitiveni Selui 46%

'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana 42%

Polymarket
NEU

Sione Tuifio Hui

$0 Vol.

48%

'Aisake Hoatatau Finau

$0 Vol.

46%

Sitiveni Selui

$0 Vol.

46%

'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana

$0 Vol.

42%

Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala

$0 Vol.

38%

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The Ongo Niua 17 by-election, scheduled for 8 October 2026, stems from the Supreme Court’s invalidation of the 2025 result on bribery grounds. Five candidates—‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau, Sitiveni Selui, Paea ‘i Vaha Filimoehala, Sione Tuifio Hui, and ‘Aminiasi Tonga Pau’u Tangimana—registered after nominations closed in early September, each drawing support from distinct villages across the small, remote constituency. Trader consensus remains tightly clustered near even odds because the electorate is limited in size, candidates run as independents without party structures to consolidate votes, and no single contender has yet established a decisive edge through public campaigning or endorsements. Factors that could widen gaps include village-level mobilization, any late candidate withdrawals or alliances, official confirmation of the final electoral roll, or developments in the parallel Tongatapu 2 by-election that influence broader perceptions of electoral integrity ahead of polling day.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
8. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The Ongo Niua 17 by-election, scheduled for 8 October 2026, stems from the Supreme Court’s invalidation of the 2025 result on bribery grounds. Five candidates—‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau, Sitiveni Selui, Paea ‘i Vaha Filimoehala, Sione Tuifio Hui, and ‘Aminiasi Tonga Pau’u Tangimana—registered after nominations closed in early September, each drawing support from distinct villages across the small, remote constituency. Trader consensus remains tightly clustered near even odds because the electorate is limited in size, candidates run as independents without party structures to consolidate votes, and no single contender has yet established a decisive edge through public campaigning or endorsements. Factors that could widen gaps include village-level mobilization, any late candidate withdrawals or alliances, official confirmation of the final electoral roll, or developments in the parallel Tongatapu 2 by-election that influence broader perceptions of electoral integrity ahead of polling day.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
8. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Wird Lei Paasi die Nachwahl in Tongatapu 2 gewinnen?

Wird Lei Paasi die Nachwahl in Tongatapu 2 gewinnen?

34%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Ongo Niua 17 Nachwahl Gewinner" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 5 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Sione Tuifio Hui" mit 48%, gefolgt von „'Aisake Hoatatau Finau" mit 46%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 48¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 48% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Ongo Niua 17 Nachwahl Gewinner" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 9, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Ongo Niua 17 Nachwahl Gewinner" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 5 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Ongo Niua 17 Nachwahl Gewinner" ist „Sione Tuifio Hui" mit 48%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 48% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „'Aisake Hoatatau Finau" mit 46%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Ongo Niua 17 Nachwahl Gewinner" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.