Recent polls place Moderaterna support at 16.8–17.7 percent in surveys from Demoskop and others conducted through early August, down from 19.1 percent in the 2022 election and aligning with the market’s tightest bins between 16–18 percent and 18–20 percent. The party leads a minority Tidö government reliant on Sweden Democrats parliamentary support amid centre-left bloc leads of roughly four to eight points. Economic conditions, crime and integration policy outcomes, and final-month campaign events including debates and voter mobilization remain the primary variables that could shift Moderaterna’s final share either below 16 percent or above 18 percent before the September 13 vote. Trader pricing reflects this narrow polling range and limited remaining time for major movement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert16-18% 45%
18-20% 41%
<16% 39%
20%+ 9%
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
<16%
39%
16-18%
45%
18-20%
41%
20%+
9%
16-18% 45%
18-20% 41%
<16% 39%
20%+ 9%
NEU
NEU
13. Sep. 2026
<16%
$0 Vol.
39%
16-18%
$0 Vol.
45%
18-20%
$96 Vol.
41%
20%+
$176 Vol.
9%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polls place Moderaterna support at 16.8–17.7 percent in surveys from Demoskop and others conducted through early August, down from 19.1 percent in the 2022 election and aligning with the market’s tightest bins between 16–18 percent and 18–20 percent. The party leads a minority Tidö government reliant on Sweden Democrats parliamentary support amid centre-left bloc leads of roughly four to eight points. Economic conditions, crime and integration policy outcomes, and final-month campaign events including debates and voter mobilization remain the primary variables that could shift Moderaterna’s final share either below 16 percent or above 18 percent before the September 13 vote. Trader pricing reflects this narrow polling range and limited remaining time for major movement.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 5:43 AM ET
Volumen
$272Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 5:43 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polls place Moderaterna support at 16.8–17.7 percent in surveys from Demoskop and others conducted through early August, down from 19.1 percent in the 2022 election and aligning with the market’s tightest bins between 16–18 percent and 18–20 percent. The party leads a minority Tidö government reliant on Sweden Democrats parliamentary support amid centre-left bloc leads of roughly four to eight points. Economic conditions, crime and integration policy outcomes, and final-month campaign events including debates and voter mobilization remain the primary variables that could shift Moderaterna’s final share either below 16 percent or above 18 percent before the September 13 vote. Trader pricing reflects this narrow polling range and limited remaining time for major movement.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volumen
$272Enddatum
13. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 5:43 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place Moderaterna support at 16.8–17.7 percent in surveys from Demoskop and others conducted through early August, down from 19.1 percent in the 2022 election and aligning with the market’s tightest bins between 16–18 percent and 18–20 percent. The party leads a minority Tidö government reliant on Sweden Democrats parliamentary support amid centre-left bloc leads of roughly four to eight points. Economic conditions, crime and integration policy outcomes, and final-month campaign events including debates and voter mobilization remain the primary variables that could shift Moderaterna’s final share either below 16 percent or above 18 percent before the September 13 vote. Trader pricing reflects this narrow polling range and limited remaining time for major movement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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