Trump's second term, which began in January 2025, extends through January 2029 under constitutional term limits, with removal before 2027 requiring either resignation, successful impeachment and conviction by two-thirds of the Senate, or invocation of the 25th Amendment due to incapacity. As of August 2026, Republican majorities in Congress have blocked multiple Democratic impeachment resolutions introduced since late 2025, including those tied to foreign policy statements and election-related claims. Routine medical updates have described the 80-year-old president as in excellent health despite public speculation over minor symptoms, reducing near-term incapacitation risks. Midterm election dynamics and institutional checks further limit rapid shifts, aligning trader consensus around continuity through the end of 2026 absent unforeseen crises.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
6% Chance
$10,788,774 Vol.
$10,788,774 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
Ja
6% Chance
$10,788,774 Vol.
$10,788,774 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's second term, which began in January 2025, extends through January 2029 under constitutional term limits, with removal before 2027 requiring either resignation, successful impeachment and conviction by two-thirds of the Senate, or invocation of the 25th Amendment due to incapacity. As of August 2026, Republican majorities in Congress have blocked multiple Democratic impeachment resolutions introduced since late 2025, including those tied to foreign policy statements and election-related claims. Routine medical updates have described the 80-year-old president as in excellent health despite public speculation over minor symptoms, reducing near-term incapacitation risks. Midterm election dynamics and institutional checks further limit rapid shifts, aligning trader consensus around continuity through the end of 2026 absent unforeseen crises.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volumen
$10,788,774Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's second term, which began in January 2025, extends through January 2029 under constitutional term limits, with removal before 2027 requiring either resignation, successful impeachment and conviction by two-thirds of the Senate, or invocation of the 25th Amendment due to incapacity. As of August 2026, Republican majorities in Congress have blocked multiple Democratic impeachment resolutions introduced since late 2025, including those tied to foreign policy statements and election-related claims. Routine medical updates have described the 80-year-old president as in excellent health despite public speculation over minor symptoms, reducing near-term incapacitation risks. Midterm election dynamics and institutional checks further limit rapid shifts, aligning trader consensus around continuity through the end of 2026 absent unforeseen crises.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$10,788,774Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's second term, which began in January 2025, extends through January 2029 under constitutional term limits, with removal before 2027 requiring either resignation, successful impeachment and conviction by two-thirds of the Senate, or invocation of the 25th Amendment due to incapacity. As of August 2026, Republican majorities in Congress have blocked multiple Democratic impeachment resolutions introduced since late 2025, including those tied to foreign policy statements and election-related claims. Routine medical updates have described the 80-year-old president as in excellent health despite public speculation over minor symptoms, reducing near-term incapacitation risks. Midterm election dynamics and institutional checks further limit rapid shifts, aligning trader consensus around continuity through the end of 2026 absent unforeseen crises.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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