Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a high near 18–20°C in Warsaw on August 24, aligning with market-implied odds clustered around 19°C (41.5%) and 20°C (32.5%). Westerly flow under moderate pressure gradients is advecting cooler maritime air, while increasing low- to mid-level cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by weak frontal passage—limit surface heating and solar insolation. Observed temperatures on August 23 reached 19–21°C amid partly cloudy skies and 10–15 mph winds, setting a baseline that models show will moderate slightly. Ensemble spread arises mainly from differences in convective timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the 18–21°C range tightly contested among traders assessing these synoptic influences.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Warschau am 24. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Warschau am 24. August?
19°C 42%
20°C 33%
18°C 18%
21°C 8%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
15°C oder weniger
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
18%
19°C
42%
20°C
33%
21°C
8%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C oder höher
<1%
19°C 42%
20°C 33%
18°C 18%
21°C 8%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
15°C oder weniger
$135 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$85 Vol.
1%
17°C
$85 Vol.
3%
18°C
$436 Vol.
18%
19°C
$362 Vol.
42%
20°C
$1,412 Vol.
33%
21°C
$415 Vol.
8%
22°C
$101 Vol.
2%
23°C
$141 Vol.
1%
24°C
$157 Vol.
1%
25°C oder höher
$299 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a high near 18–20°C in Warsaw on August 24, aligning with market-implied odds clustered around 19°C (41.5%) and 20°C (32.5%). Westerly flow under moderate pressure gradients is advecting cooler maritime air, while increasing low- to mid-level cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by weak frontal passage—limit surface heating and solar insolation. Observed temperatures on August 23 reached 19–21°C amid partly cloudy skies and 10–15 mph winds, setting a baseline that models show will moderate slightly. Ensemble spread arises mainly from differences in convective timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the 18–21°C range tightly contested among traders assessing these synoptic influences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volumen
$3,630Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a high near 18–20°C in Warsaw on August 24, aligning with market-implied odds clustered around 19°C (41.5%) and 20°C (32.5%). Westerly flow under moderate pressure gradients is advecting cooler maritime air, while increasing low- to mid-level cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by weak frontal passage—limit surface heating and solar insolation. Observed temperatures on August 23 reached 19–21°C amid partly cloudy skies and 10–15 mph winds, setting a baseline that models show will moderate slightly. Ensemble spread arises mainly from differences in convective timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the 18–21°C range tightly contested among traders assessing these synoptic influences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,630Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a high near 18–20°C in Warsaw on August 24, aligning with market-implied odds clustered around 19°C (41.5%) and 20°C (32.5%). Westerly flow under moderate pressure gradients is advecting cooler maritime air, while increasing low- to mid-level cloud cover and scattered showers—driven by weak frontal passage—limit surface heating and solar insolation. Observed temperatures on August 23 reached 19–21°C amid partly cloudy skies and 10–15 mph winds, setting a baseline that models show will moderate slightly. Ensemble spread arises mainly from differences in convective timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the 18–21°C range tightly contested among traders assessing these synoptic influences.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen