Current forecasts from models like GFS and real-time observations place Warsaw's August 23 high near 19°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds around 15-20 km/h, and stable pressure near 1018 hPa. These conditions align closely with late-summer climatology for the region, where average highs reach about 22°C but recent atmospheric patterns favor cooler advection without significant warming. Trader consensus heavily favors 19°C at 87% implied probability because updated model runs show little potential for 20°C+ without unexpected shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns, while lower outcomes remain improbable given observed afternoon readings already near 18-19°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Warschau am 23. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Warschau am 23. August?
19°C 93%
20°C 7%
21°C 2%
22°C <1%
$22,134 Vol.
$22,134 Vol.
23. Aug. 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
93%
20°C
7%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 93%
20°C 7%
21°C 2%
22°C <1%
$22,134 Vol.
$22,134 Vol.
23. Aug. 2026
15°C or below
$474 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$283 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$937 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,239 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$5,040 Vol.
93%
20°C
$3,463 Vol.
7%
21°C
$2,636 Vol.
2%
22°C
$1,538 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,515 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$569 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$2,440 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models like GFS and real-time observations place Warsaw's August 23 high near 19°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds around 15-20 km/h, and stable pressure near 1018 hPa. These conditions align closely with late-summer climatology for the region, where average highs reach about 22°C but recent atmospheric patterns favor cooler advection without significant warming. Trader consensus heavily favors 19°C at 87% implied probability because updated model runs show little potential for 20°C+ without unexpected shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns, while lower outcomes remain improbable given observed afternoon readings already near 18-19°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$22,134Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models like GFS and real-time observations place Warsaw's August 23 high near 19°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds around 15-20 km/h, and stable pressure near 1018 hPa. These conditions align closely with late-summer climatology for the region, where average highs reach about 22°C but recent atmospheric patterns favor cooler advection without significant warming. Trader consensus heavily favors 19°C at 87% implied probability because updated model runs show little potential for 20°C+ without unexpected shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns, while lower outcomes remain improbable given observed afternoon readings already near 18-19°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$22,134Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models like GFS and real-time observations place Warsaw's August 23 high near 19°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds around 15-20 km/h, and stable pressure near 1018 hPa. These conditions align closely with late-summer climatology for the region, where average highs reach about 22°C but recent atmospheric patterns favor cooler advection without significant warming. Trader consensus heavily favors 19°C at 87% implied probability because updated model runs show little potential for 20°C+ without unexpected shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns, while lower outcomes remain improbable given observed afternoon readings already near 18-19°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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