Recent forecast model runs, including GFS guidance, indicate Warsaw will experience clear to partly cloudy skies overnight with light westerly winds, supporting efficient radiative cooling and a minimum temperature near 13°C at Chopin Airport. This aligns with the market's 97% implied probability for the 13°C outcome, as multiple sources converge on overnight lows of 12–13°C under stable high pressure. Historical August climatology shows similar conditions produce minima around 13–14°C, providing additional context for the consensus. Only a substantial increase in cloud cover or an unexpected shift in the steering flow could push readings below 12°C, scenarios not currently supported by the latest model consensus or observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 23. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 23. August?
13°C 97%
11°C 6%
12°C 3%
9°C <1%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
6%
12°C
3%
13°C
97%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 97%
11°C 6%
12°C 3%
9°C <1%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
8°C or below
$342 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$196 Vol.
1%
10°C
$238 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$89 Vol.
6%
12°C
$92 Vol.
3%
13°C
$467 Vol.
97%
14°C
$473 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$164 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$540 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$184 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs, including GFS guidance, indicate Warsaw will experience clear to partly cloudy skies overnight with light westerly winds, supporting efficient radiative cooling and a minimum temperature near 13°C at Chopin Airport. This aligns with the market's 97% implied probability for the 13°C outcome, as multiple sources converge on overnight lows of 12–13°C under stable high pressure. Historical August climatology shows similar conditions produce minima around 13–14°C, providing additional context for the consensus. Only a substantial increase in cloud cover or an unexpected shift in the steering flow could push readings below 12°C, scenarios not currently supported by the latest model consensus or observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$2,930Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs, including GFS guidance, indicate Warsaw will experience clear to partly cloudy skies overnight with light westerly winds, supporting efficient radiative cooling and a minimum temperature near 13°C at Chopin Airport. This aligns with the market's 97% implied probability for the 13°C outcome, as multiple sources converge on overnight lows of 12–13°C under stable high pressure. Historical August climatology shows similar conditions produce minima around 13–14°C, providing additional context for the consensus. Only a substantial increase in cloud cover or an unexpected shift in the steering flow could push readings below 12°C, scenarios not currently supported by the latest model consensus or observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,930Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs, including GFS guidance, indicate Warsaw will experience clear to partly cloudy skies overnight with light westerly winds, supporting efficient radiative cooling and a minimum temperature near 13°C at Chopin Airport. This aligns with the market's 97% implied probability for the 13°C outcome, as multiple sources converge on overnight lows of 12–13°C under stable high pressure. Historical August climatology shows similar conditions produce minima around 13–14°C, providing additional context for the consensus. Only a substantial increase in cloud cover or an unexpected shift in the steering flow could push readings below 12°C, scenarios not currently supported by the latest model consensus or observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen