Current short-range forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting models converge on a daytime maximum of 33°C for Tel Aviv on August 16, reflecting stable high pressure, light winds, and moderating Mediterranean sea breezes typical of late summer. This consensus underpins the market's strong implied probability for 33°C, with nearby outcomes like 32°C and 34°C retaining smaller shares due to remaining uncertainty in model runs and potential minor shifts from cloud cover or wind patterns. Historical August maxima in the coastal plain average near 31–32°C but frequently reach 33–35°C under clear conditions, providing climatological context for trader positioning ahead of final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 16. August?
33°C 67%
32°C 18%
34°C 16%
30°C 4%
29°C or below
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
18%
33°C
67%
34°C
16%
35°C
3%
36°C
4%
37°C
3%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
2%
33°C 67%
32°C 18%
34°C 16%
30°C 4%
29°C or below
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
18%
33°C
67%
34°C
16%
35°C
3%
36°C
4%
37°C
3%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting models converge on a daytime maximum of 33°C for Tel Aviv on August 16, reflecting stable high pressure, light winds, and moderating Mediterranean sea breezes typical of late summer. This consensus underpins the market's strong implied probability for 33°C, with nearby outcomes like 32°C and 34°C retaining smaller shares due to remaining uncertainty in model runs and potential minor shifts from cloud cover or wind patterns. Historical August maxima in the coastal plain average near 31–32°C but frequently reach 33–35°C under clear conditions, providing climatological context for trader positioning ahead of final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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