Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and other models indicate a daytime maximum of 32–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 15, aligning with the market's strong consensus on 33°C (71.5% implied probability) over 34°C (24%). Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and limited cloud cover support efficient daytime heating in the region's subtropical Mediterranean climate, while moderate sea breezes from the Mediterranean moderate coastal extremes compared to inland areas. August climatology shows typical highs near 30–31°C, but 2026 monthly averages running slightly above normal have nudged expectations upward without triggering a full heatwave. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 15. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 15. August?
33°C 72%
34°C 26%
32°C 5%
35°C 1.4%
NEU
$13,904 Vol.
NEU
$13,904 Vol.
15. Aug. 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
72%
34°C
26%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 72%
34°C 26%
32°C 5%
35°C 1.4%
NEU
$13,904 Vol.
NEU
$13,904 Vol.
15. Aug. 2026
30°C or below
$488 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,149 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,997 Vol.
5%
33°C
$3,379 Vol.
72%
34°C
$1,799 Vol.
26%
35°C
$938 Vol.
1%
36°C
$1,122 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,167 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$925 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$288 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$654 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and other models indicate a daytime maximum of 32–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 15, aligning with the market's strong consensus on 33°C (71.5% implied probability) over 34°C (24%). Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and limited cloud cover support efficient daytime heating in the region's subtropical Mediterranean climate, while moderate sea breezes from the Mediterranean moderate coastal extremes compared to inland areas. August climatology shows typical highs near 30–31°C, but 2026 monthly averages running slightly above normal have nudged expectations upward without triggering a full heatwave. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$13,904Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and other models indicate a daytime maximum of 32–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 15, aligning with the market's strong consensus on 33°C (71.5% implied probability) over 34°C (24%). Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and limited cloud cover support efficient daytime heating in the region's subtropical Mediterranean climate, while moderate sea breezes from the Mediterranean moderate coastal extremes compared to inland areas. August climatology shows typical highs near 30–31°C, but 2026 monthly averages running slightly above normal have nudged expectations upward without triggering a full heatwave. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$13,904Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and other models indicate a daytime maximum of 32–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 15, aligning with the market's strong consensus on 33°C (71.5% implied probability) over 34°C (24%). Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and limited cloud cover support efficient daytime heating in the region's subtropical Mediterranean climate, while moderate sea breezes from the Mediterranean moderate coastal extremes compared to inland areas. August climatology shows typical highs near 30–31°C, but 2026 monthly averages running slightly above normal have nudged expectations upward without triggering a full heatwave. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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