Trader consensus favors 31–32°C for Singapore’s August 16 maximum, reflecting prevailing southwest monsoon conditions that favor drier, fair weather with reduced cloud cover and enhanced solar heating. Official NEA guidance highlights likely maxima of 33–34°C amid below-normal rainfall linked to moderate El Niño influences, yet localized afternoon thundery showers and variable southeasterly winds introduce downward pressure on peak readings. Short-range model runs show modest disagreement on convective timing and intensity, producing closely matched implied probabilities around these central outcomes. Historical August baselines near 30–31°C, combined with ongoing urban heat retention, underscore the sensitivity of daily maxima to even minor shifts in moisture and wind patterns ahead of final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Singapur am 16. August?
32°C 36%
31°C 33%
30°C 14%
33°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
14%
31°C
33%
32°C
36%
33°C
12%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
2%
32°C 36%
31°C 33%
30°C 14%
33°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
14%
31°C
33%
32°C
36%
33°C
12%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 31–32°C for Singapore’s August 16 maximum, reflecting prevailing southwest monsoon conditions that favor drier, fair weather with reduced cloud cover and enhanced solar heating. Official NEA guidance highlights likely maxima of 33–34°C amid below-normal rainfall linked to moderate El Niño influences, yet localized afternoon thundery showers and variable southeasterly winds introduce downward pressure on peak readings. Short-range model runs show modest disagreement on convective timing and intensity, producing closely matched implied probabilities around these central outcomes. Historical August baselines near 30–31°C, combined with ongoing urban heat retention, underscore the sensitivity of daily maxima to even minor shifts in moisture and wind patterns ahead of final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen