Recent short-range forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai's mid-August subtropical monsoon pattern will likely produce a daily maximum near 30–31°C on August 16, consistent with climatological normals of 30–32°C and high humidity levels above 75 percent. Model consensus shows limited intensification risk from weak steering currents and possible afternoon convection or cloud cover that caps peak readings, while the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or typhoon influence keeps extremes below 33°C improbable. Updated numerical guidance and observed surface temperatures over the prior 48 hours have reinforced this central tendency, aligning trader-implied probabilities with the narrow historical distribution for the date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 16. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 16. August?
30°C 40%
31°C 26%
29°C 24%
32°C 10%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
24%
30°C
40%
31°C
26%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 40%
31°C 26%
29°C 24%
32°C 10%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
25°C or below
$7 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2 Vol.
1%
27°C
$10 Vol.
3%
28°C
$203 Vol.
6%
29°C
$112 Vol.
24%
30°C
$103 Vol.
40%
31°C
$363 Vol.
26%
32°C
$118 Vol.
10%
33°C
$193 Vol.
2%
34°C
$12 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$17 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai's mid-August subtropical monsoon pattern will likely produce a daily maximum near 30–31°C on August 16, consistent with climatological normals of 30–32°C and high humidity levels above 75 percent. Model consensus shows limited intensification risk from weak steering currents and possible afternoon convection or cloud cover that caps peak readings, while the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or typhoon influence keeps extremes below 33°C improbable. Updated numerical guidance and observed surface temperatures over the prior 48 hours have reinforced this central tendency, aligning trader-implied probabilities with the narrow historical distribution for the date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,140Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai's mid-August subtropical monsoon pattern will likely produce a daily maximum near 30–31°C on August 16, consistent with climatological normals of 30–32°C and high humidity levels above 75 percent. Model consensus shows limited intensification risk from weak steering currents and possible afternoon convection or cloud cover that caps peak readings, while the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or typhoon influence keeps extremes below 33°C improbable. Updated numerical guidance and observed surface temperatures over the prior 48 hours have reinforced this central tendency, aligning trader-implied probabilities with the narrow historical distribution for the date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,140Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai's mid-August subtropical monsoon pattern will likely produce a daily maximum near 30–31°C on August 16, consistent with climatological normals of 30–32°C and high humidity levels above 75 percent. Model consensus shows limited intensification risk from weak steering currents and possible afternoon convection or cloud cover that caps peak readings, while the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or typhoon influence keeps extremes below 33°C improbable. Updated numerical guidance and observed surface temperatures over the prior 48 hours have reinforced this central tendency, aligning trader-implied probabilities with the narrow historical distribution for the date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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