Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Miami on August 15 points to a typical mid-August pattern of daytime heating under partly sunny skies, with afternoon sea-breeze thunderstorms expected to develop and potentially cap the peak temperature. Historical normals place the average daily maximum near 89–90 °F, while recent days have reached 93–94 °F amid a persistent warm, humid regime. This combination of climatological baseline, current heat-advisory conditions, and the usual afternoon convective cooling concentrates market-implied odds on the 92–93 °F bin. Later model runs and updated NWS forecasts will be the key near-term catalysts as the 24-hour window closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Miami am 15. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Miami am 15. August?
92-93°F 60%
90-91°F 24%
94-95°F 14%
88-89°F 5%
NEU
NEU
15. Aug. 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
24%
92-93°F
60%
94-95°F
14%
96-97°F
1%
98°F oder höher
1%
92-93°F 60%
90-91°F 24%
94-95°F 14%
88-89°F 5%
NEU
NEU
15. Aug. 2026
79°F or below
$122 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$247 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$132 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$226 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$89 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$415 Vol.
5%
90-91°F
$432 Vol.
24%
92-93°F
$2,105 Vol.
60%
94-95°F
$242 Vol.
14%
96-97°F
$77 Vol.
1%
98°F oder höher
$20 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Miami on August 15 points to a typical mid-August pattern of daytime heating under partly sunny skies, with afternoon sea-breeze thunderstorms expected to develop and potentially cap the peak temperature. Historical normals place the average daily maximum near 89–90 °F, while recent days have reached 93–94 °F amid a persistent warm, humid regime. This combination of climatological baseline, current heat-advisory conditions, and the usual afternoon convective cooling concentrates market-implied odds on the 92–93 °F bin. Later model runs and updated NWS forecasts will be the key near-term catalysts as the 24-hour window closes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$4,108Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Miami on August 15 points to a typical mid-August pattern of daytime heating under partly sunny skies, with afternoon sea-breeze thunderstorms expected to develop and potentially cap the peak temperature. Historical normals place the average daily maximum near 89–90 °F, while recent days have reached 93–94 °F amid a persistent warm, humid regime. This combination of climatological baseline, current heat-advisory conditions, and the usual afternoon convective cooling concentrates market-implied odds on the 92–93 °F bin. Later model runs and updated NWS forecasts will be the key near-term catalysts as the 24-hour window closes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,108Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Miami on August 15 points to a typical mid-August pattern of daytime heating under partly sunny skies, with afternoon sea-breeze thunderstorms expected to develop and potentially cap the peak temperature. Historical normals place the average daily maximum near 89–90 °F, while recent days have reached 93–94 °F amid a persistent warm, humid regime. This combination of climatological baseline, current heat-advisory conditions, and the usual afternoon convective cooling concentrates market-implied odds on the 92–93 °F bin. Later model runs and updated NWS forecasts will be the key near-term catalysts as the 24-hour window closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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