Persistent monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover and scattered heavy rainfall across Uttar Pradesh, form the main driver behind the fragmented market odds for Lucknow’s September 8 maximum temperature. Recent IMD observations show daily highs near 30–32 °C amid frequent showers that suppress afternoon heating, while short-range models diverge on whether breaks in the rain on the 8th will allow brief clearing and a rise toward 33–34 °C or sustained overcast skies keeping readings at 29–31 °C. High humidity and light winds further constrain diurnal temperature range. Traders weigh the latest IMD block forecasts and ensemble guidance against historical September baselines around 32 °C, with the next model runs and local observations expected to narrow the spread before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 8. September?
31°C 36%
30°C 35%
32°C 28%
29°C 20%
25°C oder weniger
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
5%
29°C
20%
30°C
35%
31°C
36%
32°C
28%
33°C
7%
34°C
7%
35°C oder höher
3%
31°C 36%
30°C 35%
32°C 28%
29°C 20%
25°C oder weniger
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
5%
29°C
20%
30°C
35%
31°C
36%
32°C
28%
33°C
7%
34°C
7%
35°C oder höher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover and scattered heavy rainfall across Uttar Pradesh, form the main driver behind the fragmented market odds for Lucknow’s September 8 maximum temperature. Recent IMD observations show daily highs near 30–32 °C amid frequent showers that suppress afternoon heating, while short-range models diverge on whether breaks in the rain on the 8th will allow brief clearing and a rise toward 33–34 °C or sustained overcast skies keeping readings at 29–31 °C. High humidity and light winds further constrain diurnal temperature range. Traders weigh the latest IMD block forecasts and ensemble guidance against historical September baselines around 32 °C, with the next model runs and local observations expected to narrow the spread before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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