Ongoing southwest monsoon activity across northern India, including persistent rainfall, high humidity, and extensive cloud cover, is moderating nocturnal radiative cooling and sustaining minimum temperatures near recent observations of 25–26°C. Official India Meteorological Department data and short-range models indicate continued thunderstorm potential and moist southeasterly flow through September 8, limiting clear-sky cooling that would otherwise allow deeper drops. Historical September climatology shows typical minima around 24°C, but current active monsoon conditions support the tight clustering of trader odds around 23–27°C, with the 25–26°C outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence over Lucknow. Updated model runs and IMD briefings on the 7th will provide key signals for any late adjustments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Lucknow am 8. September?
26°C 50%
25°C 49%
28°C 49%
23°C 48%
20°C oder darunter
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
22%
23°C
48%
24°C
48%
25°C
49%
26°C
50%
27°C
48%
28°C
49%
29°C
1%
30°C oder höher
1%
26°C 50%
25°C 49%
28°C 49%
23°C 48%
20°C oder darunter
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
22%
23°C
48%
24°C
48%
25°C
49%
26°C
50%
27°C
48%
28°C
49%
29°C
1%
30°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing southwest monsoon activity across northern India, including persistent rainfall, high humidity, and extensive cloud cover, is moderating nocturnal radiative cooling and sustaining minimum temperatures near recent observations of 25–26°C. Official India Meteorological Department data and short-range models indicate continued thunderstorm potential and moist southeasterly flow through September 8, limiting clear-sky cooling that would otherwise allow deeper drops. Historical September climatology shows typical minima around 24°C, but current active monsoon conditions support the tight clustering of trader odds around 23–27°C, with the 25–26°C outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence over Lucknow. Updated model runs and IMD briefings on the 7th will provide key signals for any late adjustments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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