Recent forecasts for Jeddah on September 1 point to a daily high in the upper 30s Celsius, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 38°C (35%) and 39°C (32%). Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and northwest winds typical of the region's arid summer regime support this range, while Red Sea moisture and variable sea breezes introduce small uncertainties in peak readings. Historical September maxima average near 37°C with occasional excursions above 40°C, yet current model consensus shows no strong anomaly or intensification. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions against minor forecast spread in wind and cloud cover, producing the observed distribution of implied probabilities across 37–40°C outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dschidda am 1. September?
38°C 35%
39°C 32%
37°C 17%
40°C 11%
31°C oder darunter
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
9%
37°C
17%
38°C
35%
39°C
32%
40°C
11%
41°C oder höher
8%
38°C 35%
39°C 32%
37°C 17%
40°C 11%
31°C oder darunter
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
9%
37°C
17%
38°C
35%
39°C
32%
40°C
11%
41°C oder höher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Jeddah on September 1 point to a daily high in the upper 30s Celsius, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 38°C (35%) and 39°C (32%). Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and northwest winds typical of the region's arid summer regime support this range, while Red Sea moisture and variable sea breezes introduce small uncertainties in peak readings. Historical September maxima average near 37°C with occasional excursions above 40°C, yet current model consensus shows no strong anomaly or intensification. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions against minor forecast spread in wind and cloud cover, producing the observed distribution of implied probabilities across 37–40°C outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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