National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus projected a maximum of 94–95°F for Houston on August 29 under mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and typical late-summer humidity that limited overnight cooling but allowed strong daytime heating. Official climatological normals near 93–94°F, combined with the absence of significant cloud cover or precipitation in the latest runs, aligned trader positioning tightly around this narrow range as the most probable outcome at the designated station. While 100% implied probability reflects strong pre-event data, actual observations could deviate if unexpected afternoon convection developed earlier than modeled or if station-specific microclimate effects altered the peak reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Houston am 29. August?
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F oder weniger <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$39,903 Vol.
$39,903 Vol.
83°F oder weniger
Nein
84-85°F
Nein
86-87°F
Nein
88-89°F
Nein
90-91°F
Nein
92-93°F
Nein
94-95°F
Ja
96-97°F
Nein
98-99°F
Nein
100-101°F
Nein
102°F oder höher
Nein
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F oder weniger <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$39,903 Vol.
$39,903 Vol.
83°F oder weniger
Nein
84-85°F
Nein
86-87°F
Nein
88-89°F
Nein
90-91°F
Nein
92-93°F
Nein
94-95°F
Ja
96-97°F
Nein
98-99°F
Nein
100-101°F
Nein
102°F oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model consensus projected a maximum of 94–95°F for Houston on August 29 under mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and typical late-summer humidity that limited overnight cooling but allowed strong daytime heating. Official climatological normals near 93–94°F, combined with the absence of significant cloud cover or precipitation in the latest runs, aligned trader positioning tightly around this narrow range as the most probable outcome at the designated station. While 100% implied probability reflects strong pre-event data, actual observations could deviate if unexpected afternoon convection developed earlier than modeled or if station-specific microclimate effects altered the peak reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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