Official National Weather Service observations at Chicago O’Hare recorded a maximum temperature of 81°F on August 29, 2026, aligning precisely with the 1991–2020 climatological normal and driving the market’s 100% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin. Southwest flow, partly sunny skies, and limited moisture kept afternoon readings from exceeding seasonal averages, with no strong warm advection or subsidence to produce anomalous heat. Trader consensus reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, as post-event climatological reports eliminate most uncertainty. Resolution hinges on the specific official station and daily maximum definition; minor discrepancies between O’Hare and Midway readings or alternative measurement protocols remain the primary realistic variables that could affect edge cases in similar markets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chicago am 29. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Chicago am 29. August?
80-81°F 100.0%
75°F oder weniger <1%
76-77 °F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$23,122 Vol.
$23,122 Vol.
29. Aug. 2026
75°F oder weniger
Nein
76-77 °F
Nein
78-79°F
Nein
80-81°F
Ja
82-83°F
Nein
84–85°F
Nein
30-31 °C
Nein
88-89°F
Nein
90-91°F
Nein
92-93°F
Nein
94°F oder höher
Nein
80-81°F 100.0%
75°F oder weniger <1%
76-77 °F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$23,122 Vol.
$23,122 Vol.
29. Aug. 2026
75°F oder weniger
$1,021 Vol.
Nein
76-77 °F
$1,834 Vol.
Nein
78-79°F
$4,403 Vol.
Nein
80-81°F
$4,787 Vol.
Ja
82-83°F
$4,755 Vol.
Nein
84–85°F
$3,001 Vol.
Nein
30-31 °C
$1,467 Vol.
Nein
88-89°F
$955 Vol.
Nein
90-91°F
$233 Vol.
Nein
92-93°F
$333 Vol.
Nein
94°F oder höher
$333 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at Chicago O’Hare recorded a maximum temperature of 81°F on August 29, 2026, aligning precisely with the 1991–2020 climatological normal and driving the market’s 100% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin. Southwest flow, partly sunny skies, and limited moisture kept afternoon readings from exceeding seasonal averages, with no strong warm advection or subsidence to produce anomalous heat. Trader consensus reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, as post-event climatological reports eliminate most uncertainty. Resolution hinges on the specific official station and daily maximum definition; minor discrepancies between O’Hare and Midway readings or alternative measurement protocols remain the primary realistic variables that could affect edge cases in similar markets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$23,122Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at Chicago O’Hare recorded a maximum temperature of 81°F on August 29, 2026, aligning precisely with the 1991–2020 climatological normal and driving the market’s 100% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin. Southwest flow, partly sunny skies, and limited moisture kept afternoon readings from exceeding seasonal averages, with no strong warm advection or subsidence to produce anomalous heat. Trader consensus reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, as post-event climatological reports eliminate most uncertainty. Resolution hinges on the specific official station and daily maximum definition; minor discrepancies between O’Hare and Midway readings or alternative measurement protocols remain the primary realistic variables that could affect edge cases in similar markets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$23,122Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Official National Weather Service observations at Chicago O’Hare recorded a maximum temperature of 81°F on August 29, 2026, aligning precisely with the 1991–2020 climatological normal and driving the market’s 100% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin. Southwest flow, partly sunny skies, and limited moisture kept afternoon readings from exceeding seasonal averages, with no strong warm advection or subsidence to produce anomalous heat. Trader consensus reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, as post-event climatological reports eliminate most uncertainty. Resolution hinges on the specific official station and daily maximum definition; minor discrepancies between O’Hare and Midway readings or alternative measurement protocols remain the primary realistic variables that could affect edge cases in similar markets.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen