National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate a high near 89°F in Chicago on August 31 under partly sunny skies after morning clouds, with southwest winds of 10-15 mph. This positions the 88-89°F and 90-91°F bins as closely matched market leaders because forecast highs sit at the boundary between those ranges, where small shifts in afternoon cloud cover, mixing depth, or dewpoint advection could tip the official observation either way. Above-normal temperatures reflect a warm, humid air mass with heat indices potentially reaching the mid-90s, while the low probability of widespread convection limits cooling from storms. Historical climatology shows an average high near 81°F, underscoring the current anomaly driven by persistent southwesterly flow. Updated model runs and the evening NWS forecast discussion represent the next key data points for traders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chicago am 31. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Chicago am 31. August?
88-89°F 36%
90-91°F 32%
30-31°C 12%
92-93°F 8%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
81°F oder darunter
<1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
4%
30-31°C
12%
88-89°F
36%
90-91°F
32%
92-93°F
8%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F oder höher
<1%
88-89°F 36%
90-91°F 32%
30-31°C 12%
92-93°F 8%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
81°F oder darunter
$103 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$145 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$424 Vol.
4%
30-31°C
$465 Vol.
12%
88-89°F
$426 Vol.
36%
90-91°F
$1,431 Vol.
32%
92-93°F
$504 Vol.
8%
94-95°F
$122 Vol.
4%
96-97°F
$57 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$123 Vol.
<1%
100°F oder höher
$238 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate a high near 89°F in Chicago on August 31 under partly sunny skies after morning clouds, with southwest winds of 10-15 mph. This positions the 88-89°F and 90-91°F bins as closely matched market leaders because forecast highs sit at the boundary between those ranges, where small shifts in afternoon cloud cover, mixing depth, or dewpoint advection could tip the official observation either way. Above-normal temperatures reflect a warm, humid air mass with heat indices potentially reaching the mid-90s, while the low probability of widespread convection limits cooling from storms. Historical climatology shows an average high near 81°F, underscoring the current anomaly driven by persistent southwesterly flow. Updated model runs and the evening NWS forecast discussion represent the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$4,040Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate a high near 89°F in Chicago on August 31 under partly sunny skies after morning clouds, with southwest winds of 10-15 mph. This positions the 88-89°F and 90-91°F bins as closely matched market leaders because forecast highs sit at the boundary between those ranges, where small shifts in afternoon cloud cover, mixing depth, or dewpoint advection could tip the official observation either way. Above-normal temperatures reflect a warm, humid air mass with heat indices potentially reaching the mid-90s, while the low probability of widespread convection limits cooling from storms. Historical climatology shows an average high near 81°F, underscoring the current anomaly driven by persistent southwesterly flow. Updated model runs and the evening NWS forecast discussion represent the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,040Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate a high near 89°F in Chicago on August 31 under partly sunny skies after morning clouds, with southwest winds of 10-15 mph. This positions the 88-89°F and 90-91°F bins as closely matched market leaders because forecast highs sit at the boundary between those ranges, where small shifts in afternoon cloud cover, mixing depth, or dewpoint advection could tip the official observation either way. Above-normal temperatures reflect a warm, humid air mass with heat indices potentially reaching the mid-90s, while the low probability of widespread convection limits cooling from storms. Historical climatology shows an average high near 81°F, underscoring the current anomaly driven by persistent southwesterly flow. Updated model runs and the evening NWS forecast discussion represent the next key data points for traders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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