Persistent southerly winds and extensive cloud cover from scattered showers and thunderstorms have limited overnight radiative cooling across the Chicago area, supporting minimum temperatures in the lower 70s according to National Weather Service guidance. This setup contrasts with the long-term August 30 average low near 64 °F and explains trader preference for the 68-69 °F bin at 78 % implied probability. Model consensus shows little additional cooling before dawn on the 31st, while any breaks in cloud cover could allow brief dips toward 66-67 °F. The market thus aggregates real-time observational trends and short-range forecast stability rather than climatological norms.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Chicago am 30. August?
68–69°F 89%
64-65°F 18%
66-67°F 12%
63°F oder weniger 6%
$1,136 Vol.
$1,136 Vol.
63°F oder weniger
6%
64-65°F
18%
66-67°F
12%
68–69°F
86%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F oder höher
<1%
68–69°F 89%
64-65°F 18%
66-67°F 12%
63°F oder weniger 6%
$1,136 Vol.
$1,136 Vol.
63°F oder weniger
6%
64-65°F
18%
66-67°F
12%
68–69°F
86%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southerly winds and extensive cloud cover from scattered showers and thunderstorms have limited overnight radiative cooling across the Chicago area, supporting minimum temperatures in the lower 70s according to National Weather Service guidance. This setup contrasts with the long-term August 30 average low near 64 °F and explains trader preference for the 68-69 °F bin at 78 % implied probability. Model consensus shows little additional cooling before dawn on the 31st, while any breaks in cloud cover could allow brief dips toward 66-67 °F. The market thus aggregates real-time observational trends and short-range forecast stability rather than climatological norms.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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