Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international agencies converge on mostly clear skies and light northerly winds for Ankara on August 31, supporting peak daytime heating near 28–29 °C under typical late-summer insolation. Low dew points around 9–11 °C and minimal cloud cover favor strong surface warming, yet subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds create the narrow spread between these two outcomes that dominate trader positions. Historical late-August maxima near 30 °C provide context, while official station measurements at Esenboğa or central sites will determine resolution amid inherent forecast uncertainty in short-range high-resolution guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Ankara am 31. August?
28°C 47%
29°C 43%
27°C 10%
30°C 1.1%
$10,117 Vol.
$10,117 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
10%
28°C
47%
29°C
43%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 47%
29°C 43%
27°C 10%
30°C 1.1%
$10,117 Vol.
$10,117 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
10%
28°C
47%
29°C
43%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international agencies converge on mostly clear skies and light northerly winds for Ankara on August 31, supporting peak daytime heating near 28–29 °C under typical late-summer insolation. Low dew points around 9–11 °C and minimal cloud cover favor strong surface warming, yet subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds create the narrow spread between these two outcomes that dominate trader positions. Historical late-August maxima near 30 °C provide context, while official station measurements at Esenboğa or central sites will determine resolution amid inherent forecast uncertainty in short-range high-resolution guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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