Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models and meteorological sources indicate a high near 29–30°C for Ankara on September 1 under mostly clear skies, light westerly or northerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of early September. This aligns closely with the long-term climatological average high of approximately 29°C for the period, with low precipitation risk and modest daytime heating due to moderate humidity and solar angles. Trader emphasis on the 30°C outcome reflects this model consensus and the absence of significant warm or cool advection in the latest runs, while narrower probabilities for 29°C or 31°C capture small forecast spread and potential microscale variations in urban heat island effects. Updated guidance in the coming days will refine the exact maximum as the event nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Ankara am 1. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Ankara am 1. September?
30°C 50%
29°C 25%
31°C 22%
28°C 5%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
25%
30°C
50%
31°C
22%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 50%
29°C 25%
31°C 22%
28°C 5%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
25°C or below
$89 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$175 Vol.
1%
27°C
$83 Vol.
2%
28°C
$242 Vol.
5%
29°C
$334 Vol.
25%
30°C
$426 Vol.
50%
31°C
$517 Vol.
22%
32°C
$133 Vol.
3%
33°C
$128 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models and meteorological sources indicate a high near 29–30°C for Ankara on September 1 under mostly clear skies, light westerly or northerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of early September. This aligns closely with the long-term climatological average high of approximately 29°C for the period, with low precipitation risk and modest daytime heating due to moderate humidity and solar angles. Trader emphasis on the 30°C outcome reflects this model consensus and the absence of significant warm or cool advection in the latest runs, while narrower probabilities for 29°C or 31°C capture small forecast spread and potential microscale variations in urban heat island effects. Updated guidance in the coming days will refine the exact maximum as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$2,381Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models and meteorological sources indicate a high near 29–30°C for Ankara on September 1 under mostly clear skies, light westerly or northerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of early September. This aligns closely with the long-term climatological average high of approximately 29°C for the period, with low precipitation risk and modest daytime heating due to moderate humidity and solar angles. Trader emphasis on the 30°C outcome reflects this model consensus and the absence of significant warm or cool advection in the latest runs, while narrower probabilities for 29°C or 31°C capture small forecast spread and potential microscale variations in urban heat island effects. Updated guidance in the coming days will refine the exact maximum as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,381Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models and meteorological sources indicate a high near 29–30°C for Ankara on September 1 under mostly clear skies, light westerly or northerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of early September. This aligns closely with the long-term climatological average high of approximately 29°C for the period, with low precipitation risk and modest daytime heating due to moderate humidity and solar angles. Trader emphasis on the 30°C outcome reflects this model consensus and the absence of significant warm or cool advection in the latest runs, while narrower probabilities for 29°C or 31°C capture small forecast spread and potential microscale variations in urban heat island effects. Updated guidance in the coming days will refine the exact maximum as the event nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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