Trader consensus on 22–23°C for Amsterdam’s September 14 maximum reflects the latest ECMWF and KNMI ensemble runs showing a stable high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow and partly cloudy skies. These conditions favor modest daytime heating from a starting temperature near 15–16°C, yielding an expected peak in the low- to mid-20s depending on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble spread remains narrow at this short range, yet a 1°C difference hinges on subtle variables such as afternoon insolation or minor frontal moisture, which can shift the daily maximum across the 22–23°C threshold. Updated model guidance and observational data from KNMI stations will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 14. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 14. September?
23°C 43%
22°C 40%
24°C 9%
21°C 7%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
16°C oder darunter
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
7%
22°C
40%
23°C
43%
24°C
9%
25°C
3%
26°C oder höher
<1%
23°C 43%
22°C 40%
24°C 9%
21°C 7%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
16°C oder darunter
$153 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$363 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$446 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$12 Vol.
1%
20°C
$508 Vol.
3%
21°C
$869 Vol.
7%
22°C
$656 Vol.
40%
23°C
$1,855 Vol.
43%
24°C
$808 Vol.
9%
25°C
$299 Vol.
3%
26°C oder höher
$341 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on 22–23°C for Amsterdam’s September 14 maximum reflects the latest ECMWF and KNMI ensemble runs showing a stable high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow and partly cloudy skies. These conditions favor modest daytime heating from a starting temperature near 15–16°C, yielding an expected peak in the low- to mid-20s depending on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble spread remains narrow at this short range, yet a 1°C difference hinges on subtle variables such as afternoon insolation or minor frontal moisture, which can shift the daily maximum across the 22–23°C threshold. Updated model guidance and observational data from KNMI stations will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$6,242Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on 22–23°C for Amsterdam’s September 14 maximum reflects the latest ECMWF and KNMI ensemble runs showing a stable high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow and partly cloudy skies. These conditions favor modest daytime heating from a starting temperature near 15–16°C, yielding an expected peak in the low- to mid-20s depending on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble spread remains narrow at this short range, yet a 1°C difference hinges on subtle variables such as afternoon insolation or minor frontal moisture, which can shift the daily maximum across the 22–23°C threshold. Updated model guidance and observational data from KNMI stations will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,242Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on 22–23°C for Amsterdam’s September 14 maximum reflects the latest ECMWF and KNMI ensemble runs showing a stable high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow and partly cloudy skies. These conditions favor modest daytime heating from a starting temperature near 15–16°C, yielding an expected peak in the low- to mid-20s depending on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble spread remains narrow at this short range, yet a 1°C difference hinges on subtle variables such as afternoon insolation or minor frontal moisture, which can shift the daily maximum across the 22–23°C threshold. Updated model guidance and observational data from KNMI stations will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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