Incumbent Republican David Valadao advanced alongside Democratic challenger Randy Villegas from the June 2026 top-two primary after Villegas defeated the more moderate Assemblymember Jasmeet Bains. Redistricting shifted the Central Valley seat toward greater Democratic performance, creating a competitive or lean-Democratic environment where trader consensus reflects Villegas’s polling edge and the district’s altered partisan composition. Upcoming factors include fall campaign spending, turnout among key voter blocs, and any national midterm dynamics that could influence the November 3 general election outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
83%
共和党
14%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$2,535 交易量
83%
共和党
$5,407 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Valadao advanced alongside Democratic challenger Randy Villegas from the June 2026 top-two primary after Villegas defeated the more moderate Assemblymember Jasmeet Bains. Redistricting shifted the Central Valley seat toward greater Democratic performance, creating a competitive or lean-Democratic environment where trader consensus reflects Villegas’s polling edge and the district’s altered partisan composition. Upcoming factors include fall campaign spending, turnout among key voter blocs, and any national midterm dynamics that could influence the November 3 general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ET
交易量
$7,942结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Valadao advanced alongside Democratic challenger Randy Villegas from the June 2026 top-two primary after Villegas defeated the more moderate Assemblymember Jasmeet Bains. Redistricting shifted the Central Valley seat toward greater Democratic performance, creating a competitive or lean-Democratic environment where trader consensus reflects Villegas’s polling edge and the district’s altered partisan composition. Upcoming factors include fall campaign spending, turnout among key voter blocs, and any national midterm dynamics that could influence the November 3 general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$7,942结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican David Valadao advanced alongside Democratic challenger Randy Villegas from the June 2026 top-two primary after Villegas defeated the more moderate Assemblymember Jasmeet Bains. Redistricting shifted the Central Valley seat toward greater Democratic performance, creating a competitive or lean-Democratic environment where trader consensus reflects Villegas’s polling edge and the district’s altered partisan composition. Upcoming factors include fall campaign spending, turnout among key voter blocs, and any national midterm dynamics that could influence the November 3 general election outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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